Carver County, MN

MN · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+5.4
2024 Margin
R+0.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1936
Voting Streak
110K
Population

Carver County, MN (Minnesota) voted R+5.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 35,586 votes (51.45%) to 31,869 (46.08%) for Harris.

This represents a R+0.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Carver County is classified as a lean Republican county. Carver County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1936. The county has a population of approximately 110,041.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+5.4
2020→2024 SwingR+0.5%
Voting StreakR since 1936
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population110,041
Median Age
39.0(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
50.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$125,946(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
86.1%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
2.1%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
3.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
81.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
4.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
4.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
26.0%
Evangelical
14.1%
Mainline Protestant
8.7%(Above Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.1%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
37.3%Significant Hub(3.0x)
Irish
11.1%
English
8.4%
Polish
3.6%(1.5x)
American Heritage
3.1%
Italian
3.0%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.0 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
25.2%
18-29
7.9%
30-44
18.3%
45-64
34.0%
65+
14.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
15.8%(1.6x US)
Professional & Technical
13.4%(1.1x US)
Retail Trade
10.7%
Educational Services
6.2%(0.7x US)
Construction
5.7%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
3.6%(0.8x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202446.1%(31,869)51.5%(35,586)R+5.4R+0.5
202046.4%(30,774)51.3%(34,009)R+4.9D+8.7
201638.6%(21,508)52.2%(29,056)R+13.6D+6.1
201239.2%(20,745)58.9%(31,155)R+19.7R+4.6
200841.6%(20,654)56.7%(28,156)R+15.1D+11.4
200436.2%(16,456)62.8%(28,510)R+26.5R+2.8
200035.6%(12,462)59.4%(20,790)R+23.8R+20.8
199641.0%(11,554)44.0%(12,380)R+2.9D+4.0
199231.4%(8,349)38.3%(10,201)R+7.0D+12.5
198839.8%(8,439)59.2%(12,560)R+19.4D+8.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Carver County, MN18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202450.6%(34,470)46.6%(31,720)D+4.0D+13.2
202042.2%(27,616)51.3%(33,623)R+9.2R+8.8
201896.9%(49,246)97.2%(49,412)R+0.3D+18.3
201439.0%(14,424)57.7%(21,323)R+18.7R+32.0
201255.0%(28,205)41.7%(21,378)D+13.3D+39.4
200828.6%(14,102)54.7%(26,968)R+26.1R+20.3
200645.4%(16,476)51.2%(18,585)R+5.8D+28.3
200231.8%(11,072)65.9%(22,966)R+34.1R+11.9
200035.1%(12,219)57.3%(19,959)R+22.2R+8.2
199638.0%(10,683)52.0%(14,606)R+14.0D+15.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20220.0%(0)51.8%(28,078)R+51.8R+43.0
201843.9%(22,334)52.7%(26,822)R+8.8D+14.3
201436.2%(13,328)59.3%(21,842)R+23.1D+7.5
201027.7%(10,249)58.4%(21,589)R+30.6D+2.8
200630.1%(10,932)63.6%(23,082)R+33.5D+5.6
200222.6%(7,848)61.6%(21,396)R+39.0D+0.9
19980.0%(0)39.9%(11,476)R+39.9D+13.4
199421.0%(4,309)74.2%(15,262)R+53.3R+35.5
199039.3%(7,614)57.1%(11,065)R+17.8R+11.4
198645.9%(6,280)52.4%(7,160)R+6.4R+8.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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