Carver County, Minnesota
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 85.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 5.1% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 1.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 26.0% | 51.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 14.1% | 27.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.7% | 17.1% |
| Other | 1.9% | 3.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 49.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+5.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+4.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+13.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+19.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+15.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+26.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+23.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+2.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+7.0 |
Carver, Minnesota is a county that has a population of 110,041. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+5.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.1% | 51.5% | R+5.4 | R+0.5 |
| 2020 | 46.4% | 51.2% | R+4.9 | D+8.7 |
| 2016 | 38.6% | 52.2% | R+13.6 | D+6.1 |
| 2012 | 39.2% | 58.9% | R+19.7 | R+4.6 |
| 2008 | 41.6% | 56.7% | R+15.1 | D+11.4 |
| 2004 | 36.2% | 62.8% | R+26.5 | R+2.8 |
| 2000 | 35.6% | 59.4% | R+23.8 | R+20.9 |
| 1996 | 41.0% | 44.0% | R+2.9 | D+4.0 |
| 1992 | 31.4% | 38.3% | R+7.0 | D+12.4 |
| 1988 | 39.8% | 59.2% | R+19.4 | D+8.4 |
| 1984 | 35.8% | 63.6% | R+27.9 | R+10.1 |
| 1980 | 35.8% | 53.6% | R+17.8 | R+14.0 |
| 1976 | 46.3% | 50.2% | R+3.8 | D+22.8 |
| 1972 | 34.9% | 61.5% | R+26.6 | R+9.1 |
| 1968 | 39.0% | 56.4% | R+17.5 | R+14.6 |
| 1964 | 48.5% | 51.4% | R+2.9 | D+19.1 |
| 1960 | 38.9% | 60.9% | R+22.0 | D+23.3 |
| 1956 | 27.2% | 72.5% | R+45.3 | D+5.7 |
| 1952 | 24.4% | 75.4% | R+51.0 | R+27.4 |
| 1948 | 37.6% | 61.2% | R+23.6 | — |
What defines Carver?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- College attainment is 50% — 17pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally