Carlton County, MN

MN · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

R+2.5
2024 Margin
R+4.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
37K
Population

Carlton County, MN (Minnesota) voted R+2.5 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 10,435 votes (50.13%) to 9,905 (47.59%) for Harris.

This represents a R+4.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Carlton County is classified as a competitive Republican county. Carlton County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024. The county has a population of approximately 36,518.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+2.5
2020→2024 SwingR+4.1%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population36,518
Median Age
41.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
26.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$80,573(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
87.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
1.9%(US: 19.1%)
Black
1.6%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
80.0%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
11.9%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
13.7%
Mainline Protestant
12.1%(Major Center)
Catholic
10.4%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.4%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
21.3%Above Average(1.7x)
Irish
9.8%
English
6.9%
Polish
6.2%Above Average(2.5x)
American Heritage
3.8%
Italian
3.4%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:41.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.5%
18-29
7.2%↓
30-44
19.6%
45-64
33.1%↑
65+
18.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
11.6%
Manufacturing
10.2%
Professional & Technical
7.1%(0.6x US)
Educational Services
6.9%(0.8x US)
Construction
6.9%
Healthcare & Social Services
3.7%(0.8x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202447.6%(9,905)50.1%(10,435)R+2.5R+4.1
202049.6%(10,098)48.1%(9,791)D+1.5R+0.1
201646.5%(8,460)44.8%(8,160)D+1.6R+24.4
201261.8%(11,389)35.7%(6,586)D+26.1R+0.8
200862.3%(11,501)35.5%(6,549)D+26.8D+0.6
200462.5%(11,462)36.2%(6,642)D+26.3D+6.1
200057.2%(8,620)37.0%(5,578)D+20.2R+8.7
199657.9%(8,052)29.0%(4,034)D+28.9D+3.0
199252.5%(7,736)26.6%(3,922)D+25.9R+4.8
198864.8%(8,790)34.1%(4,626)D+30.7D+0.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Carlton County, MN • 1892–2024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202454.2%(11,056)42.4%(8,650)D+11.8D+8.4
202048.0%(9,577)44.6%(8,906)D+3.4R+41.2
2018118.5%(19,361)73.9%(12,075)D+44.6D+16.0
201462.2%(8,633)33.6%(4,666)D+28.6R+20.2
201272.6%(13,054)23.9%(4,290)D+48.7D+30.1
200851.9%(9,521)33.3%(6,099)D+18.7R+21.4
200668.4%(9,701)28.3%(4,015)D+40.1D+15.9
200260.0%(8,529)35.8%(5,083)D+24.2R+1.6
200060.7%(9,148)34.9%(5,261)D+25.8R+3.7
199661.8%(8,577)32.2%(4,477)D+29.5D+17.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20220.0%(0)45.8%(7,274)R+45.8R+60.7
201855.5%(9,051)40.6%(6,621)D+14.9R+9.7
201459.1%(8,176)34.5%(4,776)D+24.6R+2.8
201058.7%(8,010)31.3%(4,274)D+27.4R+2.0
200661.5%(8,721)32.2%(4,561)D+29.3D+1.7
200257.6%(8,198)30.0%(4,267)D+27.6D+58.7
19980.0%(0)31.0%(3,929)R+31.0R+35.2
199449.6%(5,892)45.4%(5,394)D+4.2R+45.3
199073.4%(8,806)23.8%(2,860)D+49.5D+0.1
198674.5%(7,081)25.0%(2,381)D+49.4R+9.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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