Middlesex County, MA

MA · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+39.2
2024 Margin
R+5.7%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1960
Voting Streak
1.6M
Population

Middlesex County, MA (Massachusetts) voted D+39.2 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 554,471 votes (68.05%) to 235,118 (28.85%) for Trump.

This represents a R+5.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Middlesex County is classified as a deep Democratic county. Middlesex County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1960. The county has a population of approximately 1,638,365.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+39.2
2020→2024 SwingR+5.7%
Voting StreakD since 1960
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population1,638,365
Median Age
38.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
59.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$130,847(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
66.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
9.3%(US: 19.1%)
Black
5.2%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
13.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
61.3%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
7.7%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
3.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
19.9%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
39.3%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
3.2%
Evangelical
3.1%(Below Average)
Jewish
0.8%(Major Center)
LDS/Mormon
0.6%
+ 1 more traditions

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Irish
18.3%Above Average(2.0x)
Italian
12.1%Significant Hub(2.5x)
English
9.7%
German
6.3%
French
3.2%Above Average(1.7x)
Polish
3.1%(1.3x)
+ 8 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:38.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.5%
18-29
9.7%
30-44
22.5%
45-64
32.0%
65+
16.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & TechnicalRegional Strength
21.1%(1.8x US)
Manufacturing
10.3%
Retail Trade
8.0%(0.8x US)
Educational Services
6.4%(0.7x US)
Construction
5.3%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
3.9%(0.9x US)
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202468.0%(554,471)28.9%(235,118)D+39.2R+5.7
202071.0%(617,196)26.1%(226,956)D+44.9D+7.7
201664.3%(520,360)27.2%(219,793)D+37.2D+10.1
201262.6%(471,804)35.5%(267,321)D+27.1R+3.0
200864.0%(464,484)33.9%(245,766)D+30.1D+0.7
200464.0%(440,862)34.5%(237,815)D+29.5R+1.7
200061.5%(404,043)30.3%(198,914)D+31.2R+5.1
199663.4%(398,190)27.1%(169,926)D+36.3D+14.5
199249.9%(343,994)28.1%(193,703)D+21.8D+11.1
198854.6%(361,563)43.8%(290,352)D+10.7D+9.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Middlesex County, MA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202466.5%(532,646)33.3%(266,265)D+33.3R+11.3
202072.0%(611,485)27.4%(232,739)D+44.6D+8.9
201866.1%(440,901)30.4%(202,871)D+35.7D+3.6
201465.9%(337,553)33.9%(173,537)D+32.0D+9.1
201361.2%(186,651)38.3%(116,716)D+22.9D+11.1
201255.9%(420,142)44.0%(331,004)D+11.9D+7.6
201051.7%(283,259)47.4%(259,768)D+4.3R+33.4
200867.3%(476,434)29.7%(209,940)D+37.7R+4.5
200671.0%(369,685)28.8%(150,257)D+42.1R+36.9
200279.0%(395,087)0.0%(0)D+79.0D+15.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202269.6%(426,054)27.7%(169,707)D+41.9D+67.0
201837.3%(246,197)62.4%(411,687)R+25.1R+30.0
201450.3%(264,319)45.4%(238,750)D+4.9R+5.4
201051.2%(283,221)40.9%(226,272)D+10.3R+11.1
200656.2%(299,749)34.8%(185,738)D+21.4D+26.1
200244.6%(241,934)49.4%(267,579)R+4.7R+5.2
199849.4%(232,302)48.9%(230,004)D+0.5D+40.7
199429.5%(159,190)69.7%(376,503)R+40.2R+30.0
199043.4%(259,059)53.7%(320,188)R+10.2R+46.7
198668.2%(291,618)31.7%(135,699)D+36.5D+10.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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