Middlesex County, Massachusetts
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 6.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 65.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 9.3% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 4.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 13.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 2.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 39.3% | 72.8% |
| Other | 6.9% | 12.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.2% | 6.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 3.1% | 5.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 1.4% | 2.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 45.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+39.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+45.2 |
| 2016 | Clinton+37.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+26.9 |
| 2008 | Obama+30.1 |
| 2004 | Kerry+29.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+31.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+36.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+21.8 |
Middlesex, Massachusetts is a county that has a population of 1,638,365. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+39.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 68.0% | 28.9% | D+39.2 | R+6.0 |
| 2020 | 71.5% | 26.3% | D+45.2 | D+8.0 |
| 2016 | 64.4% | 27.2% | D+37.2 | D+10.3 |
| 2012 | 62.6% | 35.7% | D+26.9 | R+3.2 |
| 2008 | 64.0% | 33.9% | D+30.1 | D+0.7 |
| 2004 | 64.0% | 34.5% | D+29.5 | R+1.8 |
| 2000 | 61.5% | 30.3% | D+31.2 | R+5.1 |
| 1996 | 63.4% | 27.1% | D+36.4 | D+14.6 |
| 1992 | 49.9% | 28.1% | D+21.8 | D+11.1 |
| 1988 | 54.6% | 43.8% | D+10.8 | D+9.9 |
| 1984 | 50.3% | 49.4% | D+0.8 | R+1.3 |
| 1980 | 42.5% | 40.3% | D+2.2 | R+13.4 |
| 1976 | 55.9% | 40.4% | D+15.5 | D+3.2 |
| 1972 | 55.9% | 43.6% | D+12.3 | R+19.2 |
| 1968 | 64.1% | 32.6% | D+31.5 | R+21.4 |
| 1964 | 76.2% | 23.4% | D+52.9 | D+34.7 |
| 1960 | 59.0% | 40.8% | D+18.2 | D+40.8 |
| 1956 | 38.6% | 61.1% | R+22.5 | R+8.3 |
| 1952 | 42.7% | 57.0% | R+14.3 | R+18.4 |
| 1948 | 51.1% | 47.0% | D+4.1 | — |
What defines Middlesex?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 39.2% margin
- College attainment is 60% — 27pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally