Harford County, MD

MD · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+13.7
2024 Margin
R+1.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
264K
Population

Harford County, MD (Maryland) voted R+13.7 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 83,050 votes (55.33%) to 62,453 (41.61%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Harford County is classified as a lean Republican county. Harford County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 263,757.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+13.7
2020→2024 SwingR+1.7%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population263,757
Median Age
40.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
40.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$112,265(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
72.5%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.8%(US: 19.1%)
Black
14.4%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
3.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
79.7%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
7.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.6%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
6.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
14.6%
Evangelical
10.3%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
6.2%
Black Protestant
1.6%
LDS/Mormon
0.6%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
20.2%Above Average(1.6x)
Irish
14.9%Above Average(1.6x)
English
12.4%(1.4x)
Italian
8.3%Above Average(1.7x)
Polish
5.5%Above Average(2.2x)
American Heritage
4.4%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:40.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.3%
18-29
7.6%
30-44
19.4%
45-64
33.3%
65+
17.4%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
15.0%(1.3x US)
Retail Trade
10.5%
Construction
6.8%
Educational Services
6.6%(0.8x US)
Manufacturing
6.5%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.1%(0.9x US)
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202441.6%(62,453)55.3%(83,050)R+13.7R+1.7
202042.6%(63,095)54.6%(80,930)R+12.0D+11.4
201635.8%(47,077)59.2%(77,860)R+23.4R+5.0
201239.5%(49,729)57.9%(72,911)R+18.4D+0.4
200839.4%(48,552)58.2%(71,751)R+18.8D+9.5
200435.2%(39,685)63.5%(71,565)R+28.3R+9.5
200039.0%(35,665)57.8%(52,862)R+18.8R+6.1
199638.1%(29,779)50.8%(39,686)R+12.7R+1.3
199233.7%(27,164)45.0%(36,350)R+11.4D+20.5
198833.8%(19,803)65.7%(38,493)R+31.9D+5.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Harford County, MD18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202432.2%(48,108)67.4%(100,615)R+35.2R+23.2
202244.0%(45,315)56.0%(57,713)R+12.0R+2.2
201841.6%(45,921)51.4%(56,749)R+9.8D+14.8
201636.2%(47,858)60.8%(80,355)R+24.6R+22.9
201235.0%(43,274)36.8%(45,404)R+1.7D+8.7
201043.5%(40,712)54.0%(50,513)R+10.5D+16.0
200635.8%(32,590)62.3%(56,703)R+26.5R+23.8
200448.1%(53,444)50.8%(56,465)R+2.7D+4.7
200046.3%(41,679)53.6%(48,322)R+7.4R+28.8
199860.7%(43,938)39.3%(28,462)D+21.4D+20.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202243.8%(45,222)52.2%(53,962)R+8.5D+46.9
201821.7%(24,012)77.1%(85,259)R+55.4R+0.5
201421.7%(19,814)76.5%(69,986)R+54.9R+23.3
201033.0%(31,220)64.5%(61,068)R+31.5R+3.7
200635.6%(32,490)63.4%(57,882)R+27.8D+21.7
200224.8%(21,246)74.3%(63,553)R+49.5R+27.7
199839.1%(28,428)60.9%(44,300)R+21.8D+7.8
199435.2%(22,884)64.8%(42,124)R+29.6R+32.5
199051.5%(22,090)48.5%(20,832)D+2.9R+64.6
198683.7%(33,633)16.3%(6,528)D+67.5D+68.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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