Frederick County, MD

MD · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+8.7
2024 Margin
R+0.9%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2020
Voting Streak
287K
Population

Frederick County, MD (Maryland) voted D+8.7 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 82,409 votes (52.79%) to 68,753 (44.04%) for Trump.

This represents a R+0.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Frederick County is classified as a lean Democratic county. Frederick County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2020. The county has a population of approximately 287,048.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+8.7
2020→2024 SwingR+0.9%
Voting StreakD since 2020
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population287,048
Median Age
39.0(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
45.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$122,002(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
67.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
12.9%(US: 19.1%)
Black
10.2%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
5.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
77.0%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
6.0%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
11.1%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
13.2%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
9.7%(Above Average)
Evangelical
8.1%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.4%
Black Protestant
0.7%
+ 1 more traditions

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
18.7%(1.5x)
Irish
12.9%(1.4x)
English
12.4%(1.4x)
Italian
5.9%(1.2x)
American Heritage
4.7%
Polish
3.1%(1.3x)
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.0 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.3%
18-29
8.2%
30-44
20.0%
45-64
33.2%
65+
15.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & TechnicalRegional Strength
18.4%(1.5x US)
Retail Trade
9.7%
Construction
8.7%(1.3x US)
Educational Services
7.1%(0.8x US)
Manufacturing
6.0%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.1%(1.1x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202452.8%(82,409)44.0%(68,753)D+8.7R+0.9
202053.3%(77,675)43.7%(63,682)D+9.6D+12.0
201645.9%(56,522)48.3%(59,522)R+2.4D+0.7
201247.1%(55,146)50.2%(58,798)R+3.1R+2.1
200848.6%(54,013)49.6%(55,170)R+1.0D+19.3
200439.3%(39,503)59.6%(59,934)R+20.3R+1.7
200039.1%(30,725)57.6%(45,350)R+18.6R+4.2
199638.4%(25,081)52.8%(34,494)R+14.4D+0.2
199233.8%(21,848)48.4%(31,290)R+14.6D+16.5
198834.2%(17,061)65.3%(32,575)R+31.1D+6.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Frederick County, MD18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202442.8%(66,280)56.9%(88,060)R+14.1R+24.7
202255.3%(58,687)44.7%(47,406)D+10.6D+2.9
201851.7%(55,256)44.0%(47,038)D+7.7D+10.5
201646.6%(57,084)49.4%(60,516)R+2.8D+0.2
201239.8%(45,161)42.8%(48,563)R+3.0D+1.1
201046.7%(34,913)50.8%(38,013)R+4.1D+13.4
200640.4%(29,398)57.9%(42,174)R+17.5R+19.9
200450.4%(49,336)48.1%(47,081)D+2.3D+4.5
200048.8%(37,315)51.1%(39,031)R+2.2R+16.2
199857.0%(30,235)43.0%(22,829)D+14.0D+23.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202253.5%(56,992)43.2%(46,040)D+10.3D+46.8
201831.1%(33,355)67.7%(72,560)R+36.6R+7.8
201434.6%(27,682)63.3%(50,715)R+28.8R+16.6
201042.6%(32,222)54.7%(41,410)R+12.1D+8.2
200639.2%(28,644)59.6%(43,536)R+20.4D+12.5
200233.1%(21,913)66.0%(43,646)R+32.9R+13.3
199840.2%(21,597)59.8%(32,116)R+19.6D+9.5
199435.5%(17,024)64.5%(30,992)R+29.1R+22.1
199046.5%(15,398)53.5%(17,718)R+7.0R+59.9
198676.4%(21,977)23.6%(6,778)D+52.9D+46.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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