Caroline County, MD

MD · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+37.9
2024 Margin
R+5.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
34K
Population

Caroline County, MD (Maryland) voted R+37.9 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 11,053 votes (67.69%) to 4,860 (29.76%) for Harris.

This represents a R+5.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Caroline County is classified as a deep Republican county. Caroline County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 33,669.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+37.9
2020→2024 SwingR+5.1%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population33,669
Median Age
39.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
16.2%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$68,457(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
72.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
9.3%(US: 19.1%)
Black
13.3%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
71.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
12.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.2%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.1%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
10.8%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
10.6%(Major Center)
Catholic
10.1%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
4.0%(Above Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
15.4%(1.3x)
English
12.9%(1.5x)
Irish
10.9%
American Heritage
8.4%(1.6x)
Italian
5.5%
French
2.3%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.9%
18-29
7.7%
30-44
18.5%
45-64
32.5%
65+
17.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ConstructionMajor Specialization
13.8%(2.0x US)
Retail Trade
13.2%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
9.5%(0.8x US)
Manufacturing
7.2%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
6.2%(1.4x US)
Educational Services
5.2%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202429.8%(4,860)67.7%(11,053)R+37.9R+5.1
202032.3%(5,095)65.1%(10,286)R+32.9D+5.6
201628.7%(4,009)67.2%(9,368)R+38.4R+15.0
201237.2%(4,970)60.6%(8,098)R+23.4R+0.4
200837.6%(4,971)60.6%(8,015)R+23.0D+8.5
200433.5%(3,810)65.1%(7,396)R+31.6R+10.3
200037.9%(3,396)59.2%(5,300)R+21.3R+13.6
199639.8%(3,251)47.4%(3,874)R+7.6D+4.6
199233.4%(2,822)45.6%(3,856)R+12.2D+19.0
198834.3%(2,440)65.4%(4,661)R+31.2D+6.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Caroline County, MD18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202423.5%(3,790)76.2%(12,286)R+52.7R+20.2
202233.7%(3,593)66.3%(7,054)R+32.5R+13.0
201837.7%(4,265)57.3%(6,474)R+19.5D+11.5
201633.2%(4,596)64.2%(8,903)R+31.1R+19.8
201233.9%(4,423)45.2%(5,898)R+11.3R+4.9
201045.5%(4,508)51.9%(5,142)R+6.4D+28.0
200631.7%(2,860)66.1%(5,957)R+34.4R+35.3
200449.8%(5,543)48.9%(5,439)D+0.9D+3.6
200048.6%(4,239)51.3%(4,472)R+2.7R+22.9
199860.1%(4,089)39.9%(2,714)D+20.2D+25.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202232.1%(3,447)64.0%(6,869)R+31.9D+34.1
201816.5%(1,900)82.5%(9,489)R+66.0R+9.3
201421.0%(1,931)77.6%(7,144)R+56.6R+22.9
201031.7%(3,185)65.4%(6,571)R+33.7R+0.1
200632.5%(2,947)66.1%(5,994)R+33.6D+16.5
200224.6%(2,069)74.7%(6,286)R+50.1R+15.6
199832.8%(2,270)67.2%(4,658)R+34.5R+0.6
199433.1%(2,236)66.9%(4,529)R+33.9D+4.2
199030.9%(1,751)69.1%(3,910)R+38.1R+98.7
198680.3%(3,874)19.7%(951)D+60.6D+29.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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