Natchitoches Parish, Louisiana
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 7.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 3.9% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 39.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 32.3% | 62.3% |
| Catholic | 11.0% | 21.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.9% | 7.6% |
| Black Protestant | 2.7% | 5.3% |
| Other | 1.9% | 3.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.0% |
| Non-religious | 48.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+22.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+11.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+6.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+7.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+11.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+2.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+18.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.7 |
Natchitoches, Louisiana is a county that has a population of 36,693. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+22.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.2% | 60.5% | R+22.3 | R+7.5 |
| 2020 | 41.7% | 56.5% | R+14.9 | R+3.9 |
| 2016 | 43.0% | 54.0% | R+11.0 | R+4.4 |
| 2012 | 46.0% | 52.6% | R+6.6 | D+0.8 |
| 2008 | 45.7% | 53.0% | R+7.3 | D+3.6 |
| 2004 | 43.6% | 54.6% | R+11.0 | R+8.2 |
| 2000 | 46.6% | 49.4% | R+2.8 | R+21.4 |
| 1996 | 54.7% | 36.1% | D+18.6 | D+10.0 |
| 1992 | 47.2% | 38.5% | D+8.7 | D+16.5 |
| 1988 | 44.8% | 52.6% | R+7.8 | D+12.4 |
| 1984 | 38.8% | 59.0% | R+20.2 | R+23.3 |
| 1980 | 50.1% | 47.0% | D+3.1 | R+8.6 |
| 1976 | 53.9% | 42.3% | D+11.6 | D+46.9 |
| 1972 | 29.4% | 64.7% | R+35.3 | R+48.8 |
| 1968 | 33.4% | 19.9% | D+13.5 | D+43.5 |
| 1964 | 35.0% | 65.0% | R+30.0 | R+33.1 |
| 1960 | 39.4% | 36.3% | D+3.1 | D+23.5 |
| 1956 | 35.1% | 55.5% | R+20.4 | R+31.4 |
| 1952 | 55.5% | 44.5% | D+11.1 | R+6.3 |
| 1948 | 31.6% | 14.3% | D+17.4 | — |
What defines Natchitoches?
Natchitoches is a deep Republican exurban geography that has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. It shifted 7.5pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. Its 37K residents are moderately educated (26% hold a bachelor's degree).
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 22.3% margin
- Has flipped parties 10 times since 1868