Warren County, IA

IA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+20.6
2024 Margin
R+3.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
54K
Population

Warren County, IA (Iowa) voted R+20.6 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 19,486 votes (59.4%) to 12,712 (38.75%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Warren County is classified as a solid Republican county. Warren County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012. The county has a population of approximately 54,409.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+20.6
2020→2024 SwingR+3.9%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population54,409
Median Age
38.8(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
33.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$94,588(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.5%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
3.7%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
82.3%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
5.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
1.9%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Mainline Protestant
13.3%(Major Center)
Catholic
9.7%(Below Average)
Evangelical
8.6%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
29.9%Above Average(2.4x)
Irish
15.8%Above Average(1.7x)
English
14.7%Above Average(1.7x)
American Heritage
4.9%
Italian
3.4%
Mexican
2.4%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:38.8 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.4%
18-29
8.9%
30-44
18.3%
45-64
31.6%
65+
16.8%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
12.5%(1.2x US)
Construction
8.8%(1.3x US)
Professional & Technical
7.9%(0.7x US)
Manufacturing
7.0%(0.7x US)
Educational Services
6.0%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.7%(1.2x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202438.8%(12,712)59.4%(19,486)R+20.6R+3.9
202040.5%(12,574)57.3%(17,782)R+16.8R+0.8
201637.9%(10,411)53.9%(14,814)R+16.0R+14.1
201248.1%(12,551)50.1%(13,052)R+1.9R+2.5
200849.4%(12,299)48.8%(12,144)D+0.6D+6.8
200446.5%(10,730)52.8%(12,160)R+6.2R+5.7
200048.5%(9,521)49.0%(9,621)R+0.5R+13.2
199652.2%(9,120)39.5%(6,905)D+12.7D+5.5
199245.0%(8,612)37.8%(7,242)D+7.2R+12.7
198859.7%(9,627)39.8%(6,424)D+19.9D+20.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Warren County, IA18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202240.0%(9,634)58.3%(14,052)R+18.3R+2.7
202040.7%(12,478)56.3%(17,276)R+15.6D+15.5
201632.4%(8,700)63.5%(17,081)R+31.2R+15.4
201439.9%(7,784)55.7%(10,861)R+15.8D+18.2
201031.9%(6,429)65.9%(13,273)R+34.0R+48.3
200857.1%(13,979)42.8%(10,471)D+14.3D+58.2
200427.4%(6,163)71.2%(16,018)R+43.8R+58.2
200256.4%(9,145)42.0%(6,819)D+14.3D+48.6
199832.4%(4,577)66.7%(9,414)R+34.3R+40.7
199652.8%(9,151)46.4%(8,043)D+6.4D+42.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202235.8%(8,531)61.4%(14,631)R+25.6R+17.9
201845.1%(10,942)52.8%(12,801)R+7.7D+14.8
201436.4%(7,123)58.8%(11,509)R+22.4R+11.4
201041.7%(8,431)52.7%(10,653)R+11.0R+16.4
200652.0%(9,051)46.5%(8,103)D+5.4R+7.2
200255.2%(8,931)42.6%(6,891)D+12.6D+3.8
199854.1%(7,676)45.2%(6,421)D+8.8D+17.7
199445.0%(6,465)53.8%(7,735)R+8.8D+2.6
199044.1%(6,018)55.5%(7,581)R+11.5R+16.6
198652.5%(6,143)47.4%(5,542)D+5.1R+4.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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