Question 1

How did Marshall, Iowa vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Marshall, Iowa voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+15.5. Kamala D Harris received 7,134 votes and Donald Trump received 9,815 out of 17,270 total votes cast, a 7.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Marshall, Iowa's political history?

Accepted Answer

Marshall, Iowa has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 7 and Republicans 33 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 49.1 points in 1912.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Marshall, Iowa?

Accepted Answer

Marshall, Iowa has a population of 40,114 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 66.0% non-Hispanic white, 24.6% Hispanic, 2.1% Black. About 23% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $73,315.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Marshall, Iowa?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar countys to Marshall, Iowa are Muscatine, Woodbury, Sullivan. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	66.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(11)	24.6%
▶Black / African American(6)	2.1%
▶Asian(5)	4.1%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	1.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.0%

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	23.1%	43.3%
Mainline Protestant	14.7%	27.6%
Evangelical Protestant	13.8%	25.9%
Other	1.7%	3.2%
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.6%
Non-religious	46.8%	—

Year	Result
2024	Trump+15.5
2020	Trump+7.7
2016	Trump+8.2
2012	Obama+9.4
2008	Obama+9.3
2004	Bush+0.6
2000	Bush+2.6
1996	Clinton+9.5
1992	Clinton+8.3

Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	41.3%	56.8%	R+15.5	R+7.8
2020	45.1%	52.8%	R+7.7	D+0.5
2016	42.1%	50.3%	R+8.2	R+17.6
2012	53.8%	44.4%	D+9.4	0.0
2008	53.7%	44.4%	D+9.3	D+9.9
2004	49.3%	49.9%	R+0.6	D+2.0
2000	47.2%	49.8%	R+2.6	R+12.2
1996	50.0%	40.5%	D+9.5	D+1.2
1992	45.4%	37.1%	D+8.3	R+3.7
1988	55.6%	43.6%	D+12.0	D+22.2
1984	44.4%	54.6%	R+10.2	D+8.1
1980	36.2%	54.6%	R+18.3	R+13.7
1976	46.7%	51.3%	R+4.7	D+18.9
1972	37.3%	60.9%	R+23.6	R+5.3
1968	38.1%	56.3%	R+18.2	R+39.8
1964	60.7%	39.1%	D+21.6	D+42.1
1960	39.7%	60.2%	R+20.6	D+7.1
1956	35.0%	62.7%	R+27.7	D+6.8
1952	31.5%	65.9%	R+34.5	R+25.9
1948	43.7%	52.2%	R+8.5	—

Marshall County, Iowa

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