Lucas County, IA

IA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+48.0
2024 Margin
R+4.8%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
9K
Population

Lucas County, IA (Iowa) voted R+48.0 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 3,400 votes (73.18%) to 1,169 (25.16%) for Harris.

This represents a R+4.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Lucas County is classified as a deep Republican county. Lucas County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The county has a population of approximately 8,716.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+48.0
2020→2024 SwingR+4.8%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population8,716
Median Age
41.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
15.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$61,793(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
94.5%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.9%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
78.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
14.9%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Mainline Protestant
13.5%(Major Center)
Evangelical
9.8%(Below Average)
Catholic
6.3%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
25.5%Above Average(2.1x)
Irish
14.9%Above Average(1.6x)
English
13.7%(1.6x)
American Heritage
5.8%
Ukrainian
1.9%Major Concentration(6.0x)
Italian
1.6%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:41.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.5%
18-29
6.5%
30-44
16.7%
45-64
31.2%
65+
22.0%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail TradeMajor Specialization
25.3%(2.4x US)
Manufacturing
12.3%(1.3x US)
Construction
8.7%(1.3x US)
Professional & Technical
5.7%(0.5x US)
Agriculture & ForestryMajor Specialization
3.6%(2.1x US)
Educational Services
3.5%(0.4x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202425.2%(1,169)73.2%(3,400)R+48.0R+4.8
202027.7%(1,284)71.0%(3,287)R+43.3R+6.0
201628.2%(1,239)65.5%(2,877)R+37.3R+31.1
201246.0%(1,987)52.1%(2,254)R+6.2D+0.6
200845.4%(2,029)52.1%(2,330)R+6.7D+5.4
200443.5%(1,987)55.6%(2,543)R+12.2R+4.5
200045.0%(1,934)52.6%(2,262)R+7.6R+21.5
199651.5%(2,168)37.7%(1,586)D+13.8D+6.6
199244.3%(2,072)37.1%(1,734)D+7.2R+8.7
198857.8%(2,454)41.9%(1,776)D+16.0D+20.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Lucas County, IA18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202226.9%(937)72.2%(2,513)R+45.3R+5.6
202028.7%(1,302)68.4%(3,105)R+39.7D+7.0
201625.0%(1,068)71.6%(3,064)R+46.7R+17.9
201432.3%(1,029)61.1%(1,944)R+28.7D+13.7
201027.3%(967)69.8%(2,470)R+42.5R+49.8
200853.6%(2,360)46.3%(2,039)D+7.3D+59.3
200423.5%(1,052)75.5%(3,381)R+52.0R+61.7
200253.9%(1,707)44.2%(1,399)D+9.7D+58.5
199825.3%(769)74.1%(2,250)R+48.7R+49.5
199649.9%(1,948)49.2%(1,919)D+0.7D+47.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202222.6%(782)75.3%(2,599)R+52.6R+20.2
201832.7%(1,172)65.2%(2,335)R+32.5D+3.6
201429.4%(945)65.4%(2,102)R+36.0R+14.6
201036.2%(1,295)57.6%(2,063)R+21.5R+22.3
200649.8%(1,687)49.0%(1,659)D+0.8R+6.5
200252.7%(1,665)45.4%(1,435)D+7.3D+8.2
199849.1%(1,474)50.0%(1,502)R+0.9D+16.4
199440.8%(1,460)58.1%(2,081)R+17.3D+1.9
199040.2%(1,453)59.5%(2,149)R+19.3R+10.6
198645.6%(1,630)54.3%(1,939)R+8.7D+1.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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