Hardin County, IA

IA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+38.3
2024 Margin
R+6.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
17K
Population

Hardin County, IA (Iowa) voted R+38.3 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 5,790 votes (68.44%) to 2,553 (30.18%) for Harris.

This represents a R+6.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Hardin County is classified as a deep Republican county. Hardin County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012. The county has a population of approximately 16,639.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+38.3
2020→2024 SwingR+6.3%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population16,639
Median Age
45.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
21.9%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$65,069(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
90.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.5%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
73.6%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
9.7%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.4%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Mainline Protestant
28.0%(Primary Hub)
Evangelical
15.9%
Catholic
3.8%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
39.8%Significant Hub(3.2x)
Irish
9.1%
English
9.0%
American Heritage
5.6%
Mexican
4.0%
French
1.7%

Age Distribution

Median:45.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.0%
18-29
7.5%
30-44
17.1%
45-64
32.6%
65+
23.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
14.1%(1.3x US)
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
11.4%(6.7x US)
Manufacturing
10.1%
Construction
7.4%
Educational Services
5.2%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.2%(1.1x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202430.2%(2,553)68.4%(5,790)R+38.3R+6.3
202033.1%(2,976)65.1%(5,850)R+32.0R+3.4
201632.3%(2,787)60.8%(5,254)R+28.6R+21.9
201245.8%(4,075)52.5%(4,670)R+6.7R+7.6
200849.6%(4,393)48.7%(4,315)D+0.9D+10.5
200444.9%(4,015)54.5%(4,875)R+9.6R+0.7
200044.3%(3,734)53.2%(4,486)R+8.9R+15.5
199648.7%(4,053)42.1%(3,505)D+6.6D+4.3
199242.2%(3,792)40.0%(3,590)D+2.3R+11.4
198856.5%(5,088)42.8%(3,856)D+13.7D+21.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Hardin County, IA18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202230.8%(2,044)68.3%(4,539)R+37.6R+6.8
202033.0%(2,920)63.8%(5,639)R+30.8D+11.3
201627.0%(2,284)69.0%(5,841)R+42.0R+16.7
201434.9%(2,364)60.3%(4,082)R+25.4D+20.0
201026.3%(1,748)71.7%(4,760)R+45.4R+62.7
200858.6%(5,131)41.3%(3,611)D+17.4D+70.2
200422.9%(2,029)75.8%(6,704)R+52.8R+58.5
200251.9%(3,613)46.2%(3,217)D+5.7D+57.5
199823.8%(1,621)75.6%(5,151)R+51.8R+50.2
199648.7%(4,068)50.3%(4,199)R+1.6D+49.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202227.2%(1,793)70.4%(4,645)R+43.2R+19.5
201837.1%(2,689)60.8%(4,407)R+23.7D+8.7
201431.2%(2,122)63.6%(4,328)R+32.4R+11.3
201036.6%(2,436)57.7%(3,842)R+21.1R+22.2
200649.7%(3,384)48.6%(3,312)D+1.1R+8.5
200253.3%(3,719)43.7%(3,051)D+9.6D+10.6
199848.9%(3,351)50.0%(3,421)R+1.0D+19.2
199438.8%(2,916)59.0%(4,432)R+20.2D+5.7
199036.6%(2,819)62.4%(4,809)R+25.8R+16.6
198645.4%(3,562)54.6%(4,284)R+9.2D+1.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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