Question 1

How did Cerro Gordo, Iowa vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Cerro Gordo, Iowa voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+11.6. Kamala D Harris received 9,955 votes and Donald Trump received 12,627 out of 23,020 total votes cast, a 5.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Cerro Gordo, Iowa's political history?

Accepted Answer

Cerro Gordo, Iowa has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 16 and Republicans 24 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 41.2 points in 1932.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Cerro Gordo, Iowa?

Accepted Answer

Cerro Gordo, Iowa has a population of 42,632 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 88.2% non-Hispanic white, 5.6% Hispanic, 2.3% Black. About 24% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $68,189.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Cerro Gordo, Iowa?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar countys to Cerro Gordo, Iowa are Cayuga, Des Moines, Seneca. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	88.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(8)	5.6%
▶Black / African American(5)	2.3%
▶Asian(5)	1.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2)	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.2%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander	0.6%
Multiracial / Other	1.8%

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Mainline Protestant	24.2%	42.0%
Evangelical Protestant	16.8%	29.1%
Catholic	13.7%	23.8%
Other	2.3%	3.9%
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.3%
Orthodox Christian	0.6%	1.1%
Non-religious	42.3%	—

Year	Result
2024	Trump+11.6
2020	Trump+6.3
2016	Trump+7.6
2012	Obama+13.4
2008	Obama+20.8
2004	Kerry+9.8
2000	Gore+12.6
1996	Clinton+21.3
1992	Clinton+13.0

Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	43.2%	54.9%	R+11.6	R+5.3
2020	46.0%	52.3%	R+6.3	D+1.3
2016	42.6%	50.2%	R+7.6	R+21.0
2012	55.9%	42.5%	D+13.4	R+7.4
2008	59.7%	38.8%	D+20.8	D+11.0
2004	54.5%	44.7%	D+9.8	R+2.7
2000	55.0%	42.4%	D+12.6	R+8.7
1996	56.3%	35.0%	D+21.3	D+8.2
1992	47.0%	34.0%	D+13.0	R+2.6
1988	57.5%	41.8%	D+15.6	D+14.1
1984	50.4%	48.9%	D+1.6	D+9.6
1980	41.0%	49.0%	R+8.0	R+10.6
1976	50.4%	47.8%	D+2.6	D+13.7
1972	43.6%	54.7%	R+11.1	R+0.7
1968	42.1%	52.5%	R+10.4	R+35.4
1964	62.4%	37.4%	D+25.0	D+37.2
1960	43.9%	56.1%	R+12.2	D+2.0
1956	42.9%	57.0%	R+14.1	D+8.3
1952	38.7%	61.1%	R+22.5	R+32.1
1948	54.0%	44.3%	D+9.6	—

Cerro Gordo County, Iowa

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