Question 1

How did Black Hawk, Iowa vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Black Hawk, Iowa voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+1.2. Kamala D Harris received 31,299 votes and Donald Trump received 30,572 out of 62,906 total votes cast, a 7.9-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Black Hawk, Iowa's political history?

Accepted Answer

Black Hawk, Iowa has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The largest single-election swing was 45.1 points in 1912.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Black Hawk, Iowa?

Accepted Answer

Black Hawk, Iowa has a population of 131,049 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 78.1% non-Hispanic white, 5.2% Hispanic, 9.3% Black. About 30% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $66,417.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Black Hawk, Iowa?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar countys to Black Hawk, Iowa are St. Joseph, La Crosse, Cortland. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	78.1%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	5.2%
▶Black / African American(11)	9.3%
▶Asian(6)	2.7%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.3%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1)	0.7%
Multiracial / Other	3.7%

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	14.8%	30.3%
Mainline Protestant	14.5%	29.5%
Evangelical Protestant	8.7%	17.7%
Black Protestant	7.2%	14.6%
Other	3.8%	7.8%
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	2.1%
Non-religious	51.0%	—

Year	Result
2024	Harris+1.2
2020	Biden+9.0
2016	Clinton+7.3
2012	Obama+20.2
2008	Obama+22.4
2004	Kerry+11.5
2000	Gore+12.1
1996	Clinton+19.4
1992	Clinton+13.3

Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	49.8%	48.6%	D+1.2	R+7.9
2020	53.5%	44.5%	D+9.0	D+1.7
2016	49.6%	42.3%	D+7.3	R+12.9
2012	59.3%	39.1%	D+20.2	R+2.2
2008	60.5%	38.1%	D+22.4	D+10.9
2004	55.4%	43.9%	D+11.5	R+0.6
2000	54.7%	42.6%	D+12.1	R+7.4
1996	55.8%	36.4%	D+19.4	D+6.1
1992	48.1%	34.8%	D+13.3	R+0.1
1988	56.4%	42.9%	D+13.4	D+14.7
1984	49.0%	50.2%	R+1.2	D+2.2
1980	43.1%	46.5%	R+3.4	R+1.0
1976	47.8%	50.2%	R+2.4	D+14.7
1972	40.4%	57.5%	R+17.1	R+8.1
1968	42.6%	51.6%	R+9.1	R+30.8
1964	60.8%	39.1%	D+21.7	D+30.0
1960	45.8%	54.1%	R+8.3	D+7.8
1956	41.9%	58.0%	R+16.1	D+8.4
1952	37.6%	62.0%	R+24.5	R+34.3
1948	54.1%	44.3%	D+9.8	—

Black Hawk County, Iowa

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