Safe Republican — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 96.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 1.2% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.2% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 28.6% | 61.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.0% | 21.3% |
| Catholic | 7.7% | 16.4% |
| Other | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 53.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+60.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+57.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+53.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+33.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+19.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+28.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+18.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+0.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+13.2 |
Shelby, Illinois is a county that has a population of 20,720. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+60.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.2% | 79.4% | R+60.2 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 20.7% | 77.8% | R+57.1 | R+3.4 |
| 2016 | 20.7% | 74.5% | R+53.8 | R+20.2 |
| 2012 | 32.0% | 65.6% | R+33.5 | R+13.8 |
| 2008 | 38.9% | 58.7% | R+19.7 | D+8.7 |
| 2004 | 35.4% | 63.8% | R+28.4 | R+10.2 |
| 2000 | 40.1% | 58.3% | R+18.3 | R+18.6 |
| 1996 | 43.4% | 43.1% | D+0.3 | R+12.8 |
| 1992 | 45.6% | 32.5% | D+13.2 | D+20.3 |
| 1988 | 46.1% | 53.3% | R+7.1 | D+12.0 |
| 1984 | 40.2% | 59.4% | R+19.1 | D+3.4 |
| 1980 | 36.6% | 59.1% | R+22.5 | R+30.7 |
| 1976 | 53.7% | 45.5% | D+8.2 | D+32.5 |
| 1972 | 37.8% | 62.1% | R+24.3 | R+15.7 |
| 1968 | 40.7% | 49.3% | R+8.6 | R+33.3 |
| 1964 | 62.3% | 37.7% | D+24.7 | D+33.8 |
| 1960 | 45.4% | 54.5% | R+9.1 | D+4.9 |
| 1956 | 43.0% | 57.0% | R+14.1 | D+1.3 |
| 1952 | 42.2% | 57.7% | R+15.4 | R+18.2 |
| 1948 | 50.7% | 47.9% | D+2.8 | — |
Contextual statewide polling for Illinois. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Raja Krishnamoorthi leads at 32.1%