Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 3.0% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 3.2% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 31.0% | 60.2% |
| Catholic | 14.5% | 28.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.0% | 11.7% |
| Non-religious | 48.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+64.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+61.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+57.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+34.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+15.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+24.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+14.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+0.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+13.1 |
Fayette, Illinois is a county that has a population of 21,315. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+64.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.0% | 81.7% | R+64.7 | R+2.9 |
| 2020 | 18.1% | 79.9% | R+61.8 | R+3.9 |
| 2016 | 19.0% | 76.9% | R+57.9 | R+23.5 |
| 2012 | 31.7% | 66.0% | R+34.4 | R+18.6 |
| 2008 | 40.9% | 56.6% | R+15.8 | D+8.4 |
| 2004 | 37.4% | 61.6% | R+24.2 | R+9.9 |
| 2000 | 42.2% | 56.4% | R+14.3 | R+14.3 |
| 1996 | 44.2% | 44.1% | D+0.1 | R+13.0 |
| 1992 | 47.8% | 34.7% | D+13.1 | D+21.2 |
| 1988 | 45.8% | 53.9% | R+8.1 | D+18.3 |
| 1984 | 36.7% | 63.1% | R+26.4 | D+1.6 |
| 1980 | 34.7% | 62.7% | R+27.9 | R+28.6 |
| 1976 | 50.0% | 49.3% | D+0.7 | D+22.8 |
| 1972 | 38.9% | 61.1% | R+22.1 | R+8.3 |
| 1968 | 38.6% | 52.4% | R+13.8 | R+30.5 |
| 1964 | 58.4% | 41.6% | D+16.7 | D+31.3 |
| 1960 | 42.7% | 57.2% | R+14.6 | D+1.1 |
| 1956 | 42.2% | 57.8% | R+15.7 | R+1.7 |
| 1952 | 42.9% | 57.0% | R+14.0 | R+14.5 |
| 1948 | 49.7% | 49.3% | D+0.5 | — |
Fayette has been trending Republican — 30pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Contextual statewide polling for Illinois. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Raja Krishnamoorthi leads at 32.1%