Spalding County, Georgia
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.1pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 53.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 6.1% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 35.8% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 41.5% | 68.1% |
| Other | 8.5% | 13.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.5% | 12.3% |
| Catholic | 2.4% | 4.0% |
| Black Protestant | 1.1% | 1.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 39.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+16.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+20.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+24.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+19.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+18.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+28.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+22.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+9.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+5.5 |
Spalding, Georgia is a county that has a population of 68,892. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+16.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.4% | 58.1% | R+16.7 | D+4.1 |
| 2020 | 39.2% | 59.9% | R+20.8 | D+3.6 |
| 2016 | 36.2% | 60.6% | R+24.4 | R+4.4 |
| 2012 | 39.4% | 59.3% | R+19.9 | R+1.2 |
| 2008 | 40.1% | 58.8% | R+18.8 | D+9.8 |
| 2004 | 35.5% | 64.0% | R+28.5 | R+6.2 |
| 2000 | 37.9% | 60.2% | R+22.4 | R+13.0 |
| 1996 | 41.4% | 50.7% | R+9.3 | R+3.8 |
| 1992 | 40.6% | 46.2% | R+5.5 | D+22.6 |
| 1988 | 35.6% | 63.7% | R+28.1 | R+0.6 |
| 1984 | 36.3% | 63.7% | R+27.5 | R+46.7 |
| 1980 | 58.2% | 39.0% | D+19.2 | R+14.8 |
| 1976 | 67.0% | 33.0% | D+34.0 | D+95.7 |
| 1972 | 19.2% | 80.8% | R+61.7 | R+60.5 |
| 1968 | 26.9% | 28.0% | R+1.2 | R+8.0 |
| 1964 | 53.4% | 46.6% | D+6.9 | R+36.4 |
| 1960 | 71.6% | 28.4% | D+43.3 | R+10.4 |
| 1956 | 76.7% | 23.0% | D+53.6 | R+8.2 |
| 1952 | 80.9% | 19.1% | D+61.8 | R+1.6 |
| 1948 | 74.4% | 10.9% | D+63.5 | — |
What defines Spalding?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (47% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Margins have been narrowing — from 24.4pp to 16.7pp over the last 3 presidential elections
- College attainment is 18% — 15pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally