Baldwin County, GA

GA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+2.2
2024 Margin
R+3.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
44K
Population

Baldwin County, GA (Georgia) voted R+2.2 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 9,574 votes (50.68%) to 9,159 (48.48%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Baldwin County is classified as a competitive Republican county. Baldwin County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024. The county has a population of approximately 43,642.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+2.2
2020→2024 SwingR+3.5%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population43,642
Median Age
36.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
24.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$54,403(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
51.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.9%(US: 19.1%)
Black
42.0%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.6%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
61.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
21.7%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.1%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.9%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
22.9%
Catholic
3.5%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
3.1%
Black Protestant
2.4%
LDS/Mormon
1.2%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
9.5%
American Heritage
6.9%(1.3x)
Irish
6.3%
German
5.5%
Sub-Saharan African
1.9%(1.6x)
Italian
1.3%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:36.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
18.4%
18-29
17.9%
30-44
18.0%
45-64
28.4%
65+
17.2%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
10.9%(1.1x US)
Retail Trade
10.8%
Educational Services
9.8%(1.1x US)
Professional & Technical
8.1%(0.7x US)
Construction
4.4%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
2.9%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202448.5%(9,159)50.7%(9,574)R+2.2R+3.5
202050.1%(9,140)48.8%(8,903)D+1.3R+0.4
201649.5%(7,970)47.8%(7,697)D+1.7R+3.8
201252.1%(8,483)46.6%(7,589)D+5.5D+0.9
200851.9%(8,587)47.3%(7,823)D+4.6D+11.0
200446.5%(6,775)52.9%(7,709)R+6.4R+5.2
200048.6%(5,893)49.8%(6,041)R+1.2R+11.7
199651.2%(5,740)40.8%(4,570)D+10.4R+2.7
199249.3%(5,813)36.2%(4,262)D+13.2D+31.8
198840.4%(4,008)59.0%(5,852)R+18.6D+0.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Baldwin County, GA18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202295.8%(14,334)95.4%(14,270)D+0.4R+6.0
2020143.1%(25,867)136.6%(24,703)D+6.4D+13.1
201645.1%(6,787)51.8%(7,796)R+6.7R+11.0
201451.3%(5,453)47.0%(4,998)D+4.3D+9.7
201046.0%(5,085)51.5%(5,689)R+5.5R+5.8
200850.2%(4,483)49.8%(4,452)D+0.3D+7.5
200445.6%(6,468)52.7%(7,483)R+7.2R+11.3
200251.6%(4,958)47.4%(4,556)D+4.2R+10.0
200053.8%(4,969)39.7%(3,663)D+14.1D+15.3
199848.6%(4,199)49.7%(4,297)R+1.1R+19.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202246.1%(13,826)53.2%(15,974)R+7.2R+7.5
201849.8%(7,793)49.5%(7,735)D+0.4R+2.9
201450.6%(5,318)47.4%(4,975)D+3.3R+1.7
201050.8%(5,689)45.8%(5,133)D+5.0D+4.8
200648.4%(4,857)48.3%(4,843)D+0.1D+4.1
200247.2%(4,523)51.1%(4,900)R+3.9R+35.3
199864.5%(6,167)33.1%(3,167)D+31.4D+28.0
199451.7%(4,313)48.3%(4,031)D+3.4R+12.3
199057.0%(4,473)41.3%(3,241)D+15.7R+30.3
198673.0%(4,194)27.0%(1,549)D+46.1D+33.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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