Sarasota County, Florida
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 7.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 26 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 10.7% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 27.1% | 49.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 17.9% | 33.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.3% | 9.7% |
| Other | 3.2% | 5.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.7% | 1.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.3% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 45.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+18.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+10.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+11.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+7.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+0.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+8.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+6.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+3.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+7.9 |
Sarasota, Florida is a county that has a population of 459,547. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+18.2. Akashic Edge tracks 26 presidential elections here, dating back to 1924.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.5% | 58.7% | R+18.2 | R+7.8 |
| 2020 | 44.4% | 54.8% | R+10.4 | D+1.2 |
| 2016 | 42.7% | 54.3% | R+11.6 | R+4.2 |
| 2012 | 45.7% | 53.1% | R+7.4 | R+7.3 |
| 2008 | 49.4% | 49.5% | R+0.1 | D+8.2 |
| 2004 | 45.2% | 53.5% | R+8.3 | R+1.9 |
| 2000 | 45.3% | 51.6% | R+6.4 | R+2.6 |
| 1996 | 42.7% | 46.5% | R+3.7 | D+4.2 |
| 1992 | 34.9% | 42.8% | R+7.9 | D+25.5 |
| 1988 | 33.0% | 66.4% | R+33.4 | D+15.0 |
| 1984 | 25.8% | 74.2% | R+48.4 | R+5.6 |
| 1980 | 25.8% | 68.6% | R+42.8 | R+17.8 |
| 1976 | 36.8% | 61.8% | R+25.0 | D+35.0 |
| 1972 | 20.0% | 80.0% | R+60.0 | R+17.6 |
| 1968 | 21.4% | 63.7% | R+42.3 | R+20.1 |
| 1964 | 38.9% | 61.1% | R+22.3 | D+19.1 |
| 1960 | 29.3% | 70.7% | R+41.4 | D+5.4 |
| 1956 | 26.6% | 73.3% | R+46.8 | R+5.3 |
| 1952 | 29.3% | 70.7% | R+41.5 | R+23.8 |
| 1948 | 32.3% | 50.0% | R+17.6 | — |
What defines Sarasota?
It has a highly educated electorate (41% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Democrats nationwide.
County in State Context
Current Florida Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Florida. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Florida Senate General Election
Ashley Moody leads at 44.5%
2 pollsLow
Field Preview
2026 Florida Governor General Election
Byron Donalds leads at 43.5%
3 pollsLow
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.1 points — razor-thin
- Swung 7.8 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024