Polk County, FL

FL · Presidential Elections 18842024

R+20.6
2024 Margin
R+6.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
791K
Population

Polk County, FL (Florida) voted R+20.6 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 209,044 votes (59.71%) to 136,879 (39.1%) for Harris.

This represents a R+6.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Polk County is classified as a solid Republican county. Polk County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 790,694.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+20.6
2020→2024 SwingR+6.2%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record35

Demographics

Population790,694
Median Age
39.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
23.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$65,978(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
52.6%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
29.2%(US: 19.1%)
Black
14.6%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.8%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
70.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
14.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.2%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
20.6%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
23.3%
Catholic
9.5%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
3.1%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
LDS/Mormon
0.7%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Puerto Rican
12.1%Major Concentration(7.2x)
American Heritage
10.6%Above Average(2.0x)
German
8.2%
English
8.0%
Mexican
7.4%
Irish
6.8%
+ 6 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.0%
18-29
8.7%
30-44
20.0%
45-64
29.8%
65+
19.5%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
14.0%(1.3x US)
Educational ServicesRegional Strength
13.5%(1.6x US)
Professional & Technical
11.4%
Construction
8.4%(1.2x US)
Manufacturing
6.2%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.7%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202439.1%(136,879)59.7%(209,044)R+20.6R+6.2
202042.3%(145,049)56.7%(194,586)R+14.4R+0.4
201641.3%(117,433)55.4%(157,430)R+14.1R+7.3
201246.1%(114,622)52.9%(131,577)R+6.8R+0.7
200846.5%(113,865)52.6%(128,878)R+6.1D+11.7
200440.8%(86,009)58.6%(123,559)R+17.8R+8.9
200044.6%(75,207)53.6%(90,310)R+9.0R+8.1
199644.5%(66,747)45.3%(67,962)R+0.8D+9.1
199235.3%(51,450)45.2%(65,963)R+9.9D+23.5
198833.0%(38,249)66.5%(77,104)R+33.5D+7.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Polk County, FL18842024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80188418961904191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202439.4%(135,475)58.7%(201,722)R+19.3D+7.9
202235.8%(82,261)63.0%(144,548)R+27.1R+13.6
201843.2%(105,748)56.7%(138,751)R+13.5D+2.9
201639.4%(110,363)55.7%(156,196)R+16.4R+24.4
201252.4%(126,722)44.4%(107,393)D+8.0D+37.8
201019.0%(30,899)48.8%(79,274)R+29.8R+45.2
200656.9%(80,403)41.5%(58,584)D+15.4D+22.9
200444.8%(93,231)52.3%(108,774)R+7.5R+8.4
200049.0%(81,484)48.2%(80,004)D+0.9R+16.9
199858.9%(69,530)41.1%(48,539)D+17.8D+67.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202234.7%(80,172)64.3%(148,254)R+29.5R+16.1
201842.6%(104,057)55.9%(136,711)R+13.4R+3.6
201441.4%(79,481)51.2%(98,224)R+9.8D+1.2
201042.6%(68,168)53.5%(85,693)R+10.9D+4.6
200640.2%(57,018)55.7%(79,071)R+15.5D+7.6
200238.1%(54,299)61.3%(87,322)R+23.2R+4.8
199840.8%(47,951)59.2%(69,506)R+18.4R+12.7
199447.2%(58,364)52.8%(65,415)R+5.7R+18.1
199056.2%(58,654)43.8%(45,671)D+12.4D+30.2
198641.1%(40,400)58.9%(57,801)R+17.7R+57.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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