Marion County, FL

FL · Presidential Elections 18842024

R+31.5
2024 Margin
R+5.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
400K
Population

Marion County, FL (Florida) voted R+31.5 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 140,173 votes (65.27%) to 72,436 (33.73%) for Harris.

This represents a R+5.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Marion County is classified as a deep Republican county. Marion County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 400,078.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+31.5
2020→2024 SwingR+5.6%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record35

Demographics

Population400,078
Median Age
47.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
23.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$61,010(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
66.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
17.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
11.8%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.6%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
77.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
14.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
10.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
12.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
18.3%
Catholic
10.2%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
3.1%
Black Protestant
2.4%
LDS/Mormon
0.6%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
11.9%
English
11.2%(1.3x)
Irish
10.7%
Puerto Rican
7.8%Major Concentration(4.6x)
American Heritage
6.5%(1.2x)
Italian
5.7%
+ 6 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:47.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
18.8%
18-29
6.5%
30-44
16.6%
45-64
29.5%
65+
28.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
14.1%(1.3x US)
Professional & Technical
11.1%
Educational Services
9.8%(1.1x US)
Construction
9.2%(1.4x US)
Manufacturing
6.4%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.8%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202433.7%(72,436)65.3%(140,173)R+31.5R+5.6
202036.6%(74,858)62.5%(127,826)R+25.9D+0.3
201635.5%(62,041)61.7%(107,833)R+26.2R+10.0
201241.4%(66,831)57.6%(93,043)R+16.2R+4.6
200843.7%(70,839)55.3%(89,628)R+11.6D+5.6
200441.0%(57,271)58.2%(81,283)R+17.2R+7.0
200043.4%(44,674)53.5%(55,146)R+10.2R+5.3
199641.1%(37,045)45.9%(41,409)R+4.8D+0.5
199235.4%(30,829)40.7%(35,442)R+5.3D+28.0
198833.1%(20,685)66.4%(41,501)R+33.3D+6.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Marion County, FL18842024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80188418961904191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202434.4%(72,779)63.9%(135,179)R+29.5D+5.8
202231.9%(49,698)67.2%(104,655)R+35.3R+11.6
201838.2%(59,025)61.8%(95,592)R+23.6D+2.4
201634.5%(59,537)60.6%(104,400)R+26.0R+26.6
201248.7%(76,930)48.0%(75,967)D+0.6D+37.9
201018.5%(21,377)55.8%(64,565)R+37.3R+50.2
200655.6%(55,933)42.7%(42,965)D+12.9D+22.1
200444.0%(60,814)53.2%(73,530)R+9.2R+7.3
200048.0%(48,947)49.9%(50,896)R+1.9R+13.4
199855.8%(39,903)44.2%(31,656)D+11.5D+61.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202230.1%(47,129)69.1%(108,027)R+38.9R+14.7
201837.1%(57,392)61.3%(94,901)R+24.2R+7.6
201438.7%(46,351)55.3%(66,220)R+16.6R+3.0
201040.6%(46,449)54.2%(61,978)R+13.6D+3.7
200639.5%(39,744)56.8%(57,111)R+17.3D+5.9
200238.0%(36,113)61.2%(58,163)R+23.2R+6.2
199841.5%(31,219)58.5%(43,960)R+16.9R+6.3
199444.7%(31,345)55.3%(38,784)R+10.6R+3.7
199046.5%(26,588)53.4%(30,522)R+6.9D+14.7
198639.2%(18,276)60.8%(28,350)R+21.6R+46.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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