Manatee County, FL

FL · Presidential Elections 18842024

R+23.4
2024 Margin
R+7.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1948
Voting Streak
430K
Population

Manatee County, FL (Florida) voted R+23.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 140,486 votes (61.13%) to 86,674 (37.72%) for Harris.

This represents a R+7.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Manatee County is classified as a solid Republican county. Manatee County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1948. The county has a population of approximately 429,792.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+23.4
2020→2024 SwingR+7.4%
Voting StreakR since 1948
Elections on Record35

Demographics

Population429,792
Median Age
49.6(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
35.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$78,457(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
68.4%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
18.3%(US: 19.1%)
Black
8.0%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
2.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
74.3%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
9.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
9.0%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
12.6%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
12.9%(Below Average)
Evangelical
11.8%
Mainline Protestant
2.7%
Black Protestant
1.2%
LDS/Mormon
0.7%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
14.1%
English
12.5%(1.4x)
Irish
11.7%(1.3x)
Mexican
7.8%
American Heritage
7.1%(1.3x)
Italian
7.1%(1.5x)
+ 6 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:49.6 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
17.5%
18-29
6.4%
30-44
15.7%
45-64
31.8%
65+
28.5%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
13.8%(1.2x US)
Retail Trade
13.1%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
10.7%(1.2x US)
Construction
9.5%(1.4x US)
Manufacturing
6.1%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.9%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202437.7%(86,674)61.1%(140,486)R+23.4R+7.4
202041.6%(90,166)57.6%(124,987)R+16.1D+1.1
201639.8%(71,224)57.0%(101,944)R+17.2R+4.7
201243.3%(66,503)55.8%(85,627)R+12.5R+5.4
200846.1%(70,034)53.1%(80,721)R+7.0D+6.9
200442.7%(61,262)56.6%(81,318)R+14.0R+6.0
200044.6%(49,226)52.6%(58,023)R+8.0R+5.7
199643.2%(41,891)45.6%(44,136)R+2.3D+6.5
199233.8%(33,841)42.6%(42,725)R+8.9D+22.6
198834.1%(26,624)65.5%(51,187)R+31.4D+14.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Manatee County, FL18842024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80188418961904191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202437.7%(85,462)60.8%(137,928)R+23.1D+4.2
202235.8%(61,423)63.1%(108,234)R+27.3R+11.7
201842.2%(68,877)57.8%(94,390)R+15.6D+4.8
201637.6%(66,545)58.0%(102,717)R+20.4R+22.6
201249.4%(73,985)47.3%(70,721)D+2.2D+38.3
201013.4%(14,363)49.5%(53,127)R+36.1R+48.6
200655.5%(55,168)42.9%(42,713)D+12.5D+18.2
200445.8%(64,795)51.5%(72,829)R+5.7R+3.2
200047.4%(51,396)49.9%(54,110)R+2.5R+14.6
199856.1%(42,366)43.9%(33,216)D+12.1D+61.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202234.7%(59,801)64.5%(111,109)R+29.8R+14.1
201841.4%(67,629)57.1%(93,246)R+15.7R+5.3
201441.4%(49,515)51.8%(61,871)R+10.3D+2.1
201041.8%(44,284)54.2%(57,459)R+12.4D+7.1
200638.6%(38,547)58.0%(58,035)R+19.5D+0.7
200239.6%(40,083)59.7%(60,544)R+20.2D+2.5
199838.7%(29,316)61.3%(46,490)R+22.7R+20.9
199449.1%(40,473)50.9%(41,915)R+1.8R+10.8
199054.3%(37,920)45.3%(31,594)D+9.1D+36.3
198636.4%(24,116)63.6%(42,200)R+27.3R+40.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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