Duval County, FL

FL · Presidential Elections 18842024

R+1.5
2024 Margin
R+5.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
1.0M
Population

Duval County, FL (Florida) voted R+1.5 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 236,285 votes (49.92%) to 229,365 (48.46%) for Harris.

This represents a R+5.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Duval County is classified as a competitive Republican county. Duval County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024. The county has a population of approximately 1,023,153.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+1.5
2020→2024 SwingR+5.3%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record35

Demographics

Population1,023,153
Median Age
36.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
34.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$71,277(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
49.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
12.4%(US: 19.1%)
Black
29.4%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
4.7%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
58.2%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
14.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
10.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
11.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
36.8%(Major Center)
Catholic
13.5%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
8.3%(Unique Concentration)
Mainline Protestant
3.5%
LDS/Mormon
0.8%
+ 1 more traditions

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
8.4%
Irish
8.4%
German
8.1%
American Heritage
7.0%(1.3x)
Puerto Rican
3.9%Above Average(2.3x)
Italian
3.8%
+ 6 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:36.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.4%
18-29
8.7%
30-44
23.1%
45-64
30.5%
65+
15.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
12.9%
Retail Trade
12.5%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
9.5%(1.1x US)
Construction
7.2%
Manufacturing
5.3%(0.5x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.0%
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202448.5%(229,365)49.9%(236,285)R+1.5R+5.3
202051.3%(252,556)47.4%(233,762)D+3.8D+5.2
201647.5%(205,704)48.9%(211,672)R+1.4D+2.2
201247.8%(196,737)51.4%(211,615)R+3.6R+1.7
200848.7%(202,618)50.6%(210,537)R+1.9D+14.3
200441.6%(158,610)57.8%(220,190)R+16.2D+0.6
200040.7%(108,039)57.5%(152,460)R+16.8R+11.0
199644.2%(112,328)50.0%(126,959)R+5.8D+6.9
199236.9%(92,098)49.5%(123,631)R+12.6D+13.5
198836.7%(74,894)62.8%(128,081)R+26.1R+1.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Duval County, FL18842024

D+R++100+80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80-100188418961904191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202448.1%(223,191)50.0%(232,168)R+1.9D+7.1
202244.9%(147,646)53.9%(177,401)R+9.0R+10.8
201850.9%(192,381)49.1%(185,904)D+1.7D+17.9
201640.1%(171,598)56.3%(241,000)R+16.2R+24.6
201252.7%(211,493)44.4%(177,958)D+8.4D+34.2
201027.3%(72,184)53.2%(140,447)R+25.9R+34.3
200653.6%(120,044)45.1%(101,107)D+8.4D+19.5
200443.7%(163,748)54.7%(205,001)R+11.0R+2.2
200044.5%(121,850)53.2%(145,930)R+8.8R+27.5
199859.4%(104,640)40.6%(71,653)D+18.7D+63.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202243.5%(143,837)55.3%(182,569)R+11.7R+16.1
201851.7%(196,612)47.3%(179,902)D+4.4D+17.1
201441.5%(112,026)54.2%(146,407)R+12.7R+7.0
201045.9%(120,097)51.6%(135,074)R+5.7D+14.2
200638.9%(87,718)58.9%(132,607)R+19.9D+3.4
200238.0%(92,263)61.4%(148,923)R+23.3R+3.0
199839.9%(74,016)60.1%(111,716)R+20.3R+5.6
199442.5%(80,945)57.2%(108,900)R+14.7R+9.8
199047.6%(75,326)52.4%(83,023)R+4.9R+7.0
198651.1%(79,097)48.9%(75,804)D+2.1R+47.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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