Clay County, FL

FL · Presidential Elections 18842024

R+39.1
2024 Margin
R+2.0%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1964
Voting Streak
228K
Population

Clay County, FL (Florida) voted R+39.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 87,711 votes (68.9%) to 37,926 (29.79%) for Harris.

This represents a R+2.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Clay County is classified as a deep Republican county. Clay County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1964. The county has a population of approximately 227,584.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+39.1
2020→2024 SwingR+2.0%
Voting StreakR since 1964
Elections on Record35

Demographics

Population227,584
Median Age
40.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
28.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$87,820(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
69.1%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
11.4%(US: 19.1%)
Black
12.2%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
2.9%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
75.9%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
9.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
15.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
9.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
21.3%
Catholic
13.0%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
2.7%
LDS/Mormon
1.4%
Black Protestant
0.3%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
13.9%(1.6x)
German
11.1%
Irish
10.7%
American Heritage
6.0%
Italian
4.0%
Puerto Rican
3.8%Above Average(2.2x)
+ 6 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:40.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.9%
18-29
7.6%
30-44
19.0%
45-64
33.4%
65+
17.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
13.3%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
12.4%
Educational Services
9.2%
Construction
8.5%(1.2x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.3%(1.2x US)
Manufacturing
4.6%(0.5x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202429.8%(37,926)68.9%(87,711)R+39.1R+2.0
202030.8%(38,317)67.9%(84,480)R+37.1D+7.2
201626.1%(27,822)70.4%(74,963)R+44.3D+1.6
201226.7%(25,759)72.5%(70,022)R+45.8R+3.0
200828.2%(26,697)71.1%(67,203)R+42.8D+10.1
200423.3%(18,971)76.2%(62,078)R+52.9R+5.6
200025.5%(14,668)72.8%(41,903)R+47.3R+11.0
199628.2%(13,259)64.5%(30,370)R+36.3R+1.7
199223.3%(10,610)58.0%(26,360)R+34.6D+19.1
198823.0%(7,773)76.7%(25,942)R+53.7D+5.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Clay County, FL18842024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80188418961904191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202429.4%(37,009)68.6%(86,368)R+39.2D+8.5
202225.6%(23,054)73.3%(65,972)R+47.7R+7.0
201829.7%(27,718)70.3%(65,639)R+40.6D+11.3
201622.1%(23,251)74.0%(77,965)R+52.0R+21.5
201233.1%(30,999)63.6%(59,584)R+30.5D+28.2
201011.3%(7,253)70.0%(44,926)R+58.7R+37.6
200638.7%(19,871)59.8%(30,697)R+21.1D+25.3
200425.9%(20,831)72.2%(58,131)R+46.4R+5.7
200028.5%(16,098)69.2%(39,055)R+40.7R+30.8
199845.1%(15,763)54.9%(19,223)R+9.9D+57.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202224.6%(22,187)74.5%(67,292)R+49.9R+11.2
201830.1%(28,150)68.9%(64,401)R+38.8D+10.2
201423.4%(15,948)72.4%(49,330)R+49.0R+6.1
201027.1%(17,246)70.0%(44,547)R+42.9D+5.7
200624.5%(12,610)73.0%(37,632)R+48.5D+6.7
200222.1%(11,233)77.4%(39,347)R+55.3R+2.7
199823.7%(8,261)76.3%(26,585)R+52.6R+10.9
199429.1%(9,986)70.9%(24,290)R+41.7R+16.5
199037.4%(9,704)62.6%(16,256)R+25.2D+4.6
198635.1%(8,097)64.9%(14,987)R+29.8R+65.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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