Bay County, FL

FL · Presidential Elections 19162024

R+47.2
2024 Margin
R+3.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
186K
Population

Bay County, FL (Florida) voted R+47.2 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 71,497 votes (72.84%) to 25,201 (25.67%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Bay County is classified as a deep Republican county. Bay County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 186,393.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+47.2
2020→2024 SwingR+3.6%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record28

Demographics

Population186,393
Median Age
41.0(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
29.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$73,533(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
73.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
9.2%(US: 19.1%)
Black
10.2%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
2.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
66.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
11.9%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
13.6%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
7.2%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
22.7%
Catholic
6.6%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
3.6%
LDS/Mormon
1.2%
Black Protestant
1.1%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
13.9%(1.6x)
Irish
11.0%
German
10.6%
American Heritage
8.8%Above Average(1.6x)
Italian
3.8%
French
2.8%(1.5x)
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:41.0 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.1%
18-29
7.5%
30-44
20.1%
45-64
33.0%
65+
18.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
13.0%(1.2x US)
Educational ServicesRegional Strength
12.9%(1.5x US)
Professional & Technical
11.8%
Construction
9.2%(1.4x US)
Manufacturing
5.7%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.3%(1.2x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202425.7%(25,201)72.8%(71,497)R+47.2R+3.6
202027.5%(25,614)71.0%(66,097)R+43.5D+2.7
201624.9%(21,797)71.1%(62,194)R+46.2R+2.6
201227.6%(22,051)71.2%(56,876)R+43.6R+2.9
200829.2%(23,653)69.9%(56,683)R+40.7D+2.4
200428.1%(21,068)71.2%(53,404)R+43.1R+9.5
200032.1%(18,873)65.7%(38,682)R+33.6R+11.8
199633.0%(17,068)54.9%(28,365)R+21.9D+0.0
199228.1%(12,846)50.0%(22,842)R+21.9D+24.2
198826.5%(11,603)72.5%(31,796)R+46.0D+5.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Bay County, FL19162024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8019161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202423.7%(22,988)74.2%(72,045)R+50.5D+4.9
202221.7%(14,547)77.2%(51,657)R+55.4R+8.2
201826.4%(16,723)73.6%(46,681)R+47.2D+2.3
201623.0%(19,971)72.5%(62,906)R+49.5R+25.2
201236.3%(28,480)60.6%(47,530)R+24.3D+37.5
201010.8%(6,028)72.6%(40,408)R+61.8R+61.2
200648.9%(23,526)49.5%(23,821)R+0.6D+36.8
200430.2%(22,190)67.6%(49,639)R+37.4R+18.4
200039.6%(22,914)58.6%(33,901)R+19.0R+27.5
199854.3%(21,050)45.7%(17,739)D+8.5D+66.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202221.0%(14,091)78.2%(52,590)R+57.3R+11.5
201826.5%(16,757)72.2%(45,709)R+45.7D+3.3
201422.8%(12,990)71.8%(40,956)R+49.0R+11.2
201028.5%(15,689)66.4%(36,512)R+37.9R+3.4
200630.8%(14,802)65.3%(31,382)R+34.5D+6.3
200229.3%(14,258)70.0%(34,107)R+40.8R+2.7
199831.0%(12,017)69.0%(26,759)R+38.0R+24.3
199443.1%(17,816)56.9%(23,498)R+13.8R+5.0
199045.6%(14,236)54.4%(16,966)R+8.7D+14.2
198638.5%(11,164)61.5%(17,832)R+23.0R+59.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Explore More