San Joaquin County, CA

CA · Presidential Elections 18762024

R+0.9
2024 Margin
R+14.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
797K
Population

San Joaquin County, CA (California) voted R+0.9 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 128,996 votes (48.69%) to 126,647 (47.81%) for Harris.

This represents a R+14.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. San Joaquin County is classified as a competitive Republican county. San Joaquin County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024. The county has a population of approximately 797,334.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+0.9
2020→2024 SwingR+14.7%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record38

Demographics

Population797,334
Median Age
35.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
22.7%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$92,179(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
27.9%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
42.5%(US: 19.1%)
Black
7.7%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
17.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
62.0%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
12.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
4.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
33.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
21.5%
Evangelical
8.8%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.5%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Black Protestant
1.0%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
37.2%Significant Hub(3.3x)
German
6.4%
English
5.1%
Irish
4.7%
Italian
3.7%
Portuguese
2.0%Major Concentration(5.3x)
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:35.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
26.2%
18-29
9.4%
30-44
20.9%
45-64
30.0%
65+
13.5%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
11.8%
Professional & Technical
11.1%
Manufacturing
9.8%
Construction
8.2%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
7.6%(0.9x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.2%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202447.8%(126,647)48.7%(128,996)R+0.9R+14.7
202055.6%(161,137)41.8%(121,098)D+13.8R+0.4
201653.4%(121,124)39.2%(88,936)D+14.2D+0.5
201255.6%(114,121)41.9%(86,071)D+13.7D+3.0
200854.2%(113,974)43.6%(91,607)D+10.6D+18.0
200445.8%(87,012)53.2%(100,978)R+7.4R+6.2
200047.7%(79,776)48.9%(81,773)R+1.2R+2.7
199646.3%(67,253)44.9%(65,131)D+1.5R+2.0
199241.3%(63,655)37.8%(58,355)D+3.4D+13.3
198844.6%(61,699)54.4%(75,309)R+9.8D+10.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

San Joaquin County, CA18762024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-601876188418921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202449.6%(127,205)50.4%(129,064)R+0.7R+99.4
201898.7%(169,165)0.0%(0)D+98.7D+6.5
201692.2%(177,784)0.0%(0)D+92.2D+78.2
201257.0%(113,706)43.0%(85,787)D+14.0R+0.7
200654.7%(75,011)40.0%(54,874)D+14.7D+3.3
200052.7%(86,731)41.2%(67,907)D+11.4D+23.5
199439.9%(50,218)52.0%(65,466)R+12.1R+17.9
199248.9%(76,607)43.1%(67,531)D+5.8D+20.0
198841.1%(56,330)55.3%(75,753)R+14.2D+0.0
198240.8%(44,199)55.0%(59,606)R+14.2R+5.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202248.2%(85,498)51.8%(91,827)R+3.6R+7.9
201852.2%(101,474)47.8%(92,966)D+4.4R+2.7
201453.5%(62,614)46.5%(54,331)D+7.1D+3.5
201048.9%(77,623)45.3%(71,999)D+3.5D+28.0
200635.8%(49,868)60.3%(83,952)R+24.5R+20.9
200243.5%(53,747)47.2%(58,239)R+3.6R+10.0
199852.0%(64,377)45.6%(56,447)D+6.4D+32.8
199434.9%(44,787)61.4%(78,682)R+26.4R+12.7
199041.2%(46,653)55.0%(62,249)R+13.8D+30.6
198626.9%(28,817)71.3%(76,297)R+44.4R+21.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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