Competitive — shifted 12.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024
2008
D+6.3
Obama
2012
D+7.3
2016
D+10.6
Clinton
2020
D+10.7
Biden
2024
R+2.1
Trump
Who lives here
Economy & age
Faith & language
56% English only44% Non-English