Modoc County, CA

CA · Presidential Elections 18762024

R+46.6
2024 Margin
R+1.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
9K
Population

Modoc County, CA (California) voted R+46.6 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 2,884 votes (71.62%) to 1,008 (25.03%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Modoc County is classified as a deep Republican county. Modoc County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 8,600.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+46.6
2020→2024 SwingR+1.7%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record38

Demographics

Population8,600
Median Age
47.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
24.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$59,455(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
75.2%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
15.7%(US: 19.1%)
Asian
1.4%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
77.4%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
17.9%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
11.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
8.7%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
9.3%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
7.8%(Unique Concentration)
Evangelical
6.4%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
4.7%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
1.4%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
18.6%Above Average(2.1x)
German
18.3%(1.5x)
Mexican
13.0%
Irish
10.7%
American Heritage
6.3%
Italian
4.1%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:47.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.1%
18-29
6.3%
30-44
16.1%
45-64
26.9%
65+
31.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
12.9%
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
12.7%(7.4x US)
Construction
6.8%
Educational Services
4.8%(0.6x US)
Retail Trade
4.5%(0.4x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
2.7%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202425.0%(1,008)71.6%(2,884)R+46.6R+1.7
202026.3%(1,150)71.2%(3,109)R+44.9D+2.5
201622.8%(877)70.2%(2,696)R+47.3R+5.9
201227.6%(1,111)69.1%(2,777)R+41.5R+3.7
200829.7%(1,313)67.4%(2,981)R+37.7D+9.0
200425.7%(1,149)72.4%(3,235)R+46.7D+2.6
200023.0%(945)72.3%(2,969)R+49.3R+28.0
199631.8%(1,368)53.1%(2,285)R+21.3R+14.5
199232.2%(1,489)39.0%(1,803)R+6.8D+20.6
198835.3%(1,416)62.7%(2,518)R+27.4D+13.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Modoc County, CA18762024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-601876188418921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202424.9%(978)75.1%(2,951)R+50.2R+163.7
2018113.5%(2,972)0.0%(0)D+113.5D+2.2
2016111.3%(2,866)0.0%(0)D+111.3D+151.1
201230.1%(1,188)69.9%(2,761)R+39.8R+17.2
200634.4%(1,264)57.0%(2,093)R+22.6D+7.5
200030.8%(1,221)60.9%(2,414)R+30.1D+8.9
199424.8%(951)63.7%(2,447)R+39.0R+21.7
199235.9%(1,572)53.2%(2,327)R+17.2D+8.3
198835.2%(1,414)60.7%(2,441)R+25.5D+14.5
198226.5%(968)66.5%(2,431)R+40.0R+32.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202220.1%(687)79.9%(2,725)R+59.7R+7.3
201823.8%(820)76.2%(2,628)R+52.4R+6.8
201427.2%(770)72.8%(2,061)R+45.6R+7.3
201026.6%(1,001)64.8%(2,444)R+38.3D+17.7
200619.2%(723)75.2%(2,829)R+56.0R+18.7
200226.6%(900)63.9%(2,161)R+37.3R+25.1
199840.7%(1,428)53.0%(1,856)R+12.2D+6.5
199432.8%(1,257)51.5%(1,972)R+18.7D+2.9
199035.8%(1,320)57.3%(2,115)R+21.6D+30.2
198622.9%(810)74.7%(2,641)R+51.8R+9.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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