Fresno County, CA

CA · Presidential Elections 18762024

R+4.4
2024 Margin
R+12.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
1.0M
Population

Fresno County, CA (California) voted R+4.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 165,924 votes (50.9%) to 151,628 (46.51%) for Harris.

This represents a R+12.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Fresno County is classified as a competitive Republican county. Fresno County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024. The county has a population of approximately 1,016,725.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+4.4
2020→2024 SwingR+12.2%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record38

Demographics

Population1,016,725
Median Age
33.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
24.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$74,201(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
27.0%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
54.5%(US: 19.1%)
Black
4.8%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
10.7%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
55.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
18.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
4.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
37.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
22.2%
Evangelical
12.3%
LDS/Mormon
2.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.0%
Black Protestant
1.0%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
50.0%Major Concentration(4.5x)
German
6.5%
English
4.7%
Irish
4.5%
Italian
2.4%
American Heritage
1.6%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:33.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
27.8%
18-29
9.6%
30-44
21.9%
45-64
27.7%
65+
12.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
10.1%
Professional & Technical
9.4%(0.8x US)
Educational Services
8.3%
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
7.7%(4.5x US)
Manufacturing
6.5%(0.7x US)
Construction
6.2%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202446.5%(151,628)50.9%(165,924)R+4.4R+12.2
202052.9%(193,025)45.1%(164,464)D+7.8D+1.8
201649.2%(141,341)43.2%(124,049)D+6.0D+4.2
201249.7%(129,129)47.9%(124,490)D+1.8R+0.3
200850.0%(136,706)47.9%(131,015)D+2.1D+17.8
200441.7%(103,154)57.4%(141,988)R+15.7R+5.6
200043.0%(95,059)53.1%(117,342)R+10.1R+8.0
199645.3%(94,448)47.4%(98,813)R+2.1R+3.6
199242.2%(92,418)40.7%(89,137)D+1.5D+2.7
198848.8%(92,635)50.0%(94,835)R+1.2D+8.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Fresno County, CA18762024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-601876188418921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202447.1%(148,396)52.9%(166,675)R+5.8R+113.3
2018107.5%(233,392)0.0%(0)D+107.5D+5.4
2016102.2%(241,187)0.0%(0)D+102.2D+99.9
201251.1%(129,267)48.9%(123,499)D+2.3R+5.2
200651.5%(89,331)43.9%(76,286)D+7.5R+5.0
200052.9%(113,228)40.4%(86,502)D+12.5D+25.5
199439.7%(69,892)52.7%(92,818)R+13.0R+9.6
199244.8%(94,988)48.2%(102,172)R+3.4D+6.0
198843.6%(81,733)53.0%(99,315)R+9.4D+2.0
198242.5%(64,412)53.9%(81,633)R+11.4R+5.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202244.9%(98,417)55.1%(120,668)R+10.2R+8.3
201849.1%(124,332)50.9%(128,974)R+1.8D+2.9
201447.6%(76,143)52.4%(83,744)R+4.8D+4.7
201042.7%(85,743)52.2%(104,780)R+9.5D+26.2
200630.4%(53,605)66.1%(116,534)R+35.7R+18.4
200238.0%(59,019)55.3%(85,910)R+17.3R+15.5
199847.7%(82,293)49.5%(85,369)R+1.8D+27.1
199433.9%(60,958)62.8%(112,851)R+28.9R+19.3
199043.0%(63,523)52.6%(77,693)R+9.6D+24.5
198632.2%(47,071)66.3%(96,959)R+34.1R+26.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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