Sebastian County, AR
AR · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
Sebastian County, AR (Arkansas) voted R+37.5 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 30,719 votes (67.59%) to 13,652 (30.04%) for Harris.
This represents a R+2.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Sebastian County is classified as a deep Republican county. Sebastian County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1952. The county has a population of approximately 128,900.
Quick Stats
Demographics
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020Ancestry Groups
Source: Census ACSTop reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).
Age Distribution
Employment by Industry
Census ACSPresidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.0%(13,652) | 67.6%(30,719) | R+37.5 | R+2.1 |
| 2020 | 30.7%(14,487) | 66.2%(31,198) | R+35.5 | D+3.6 |
| 2016 | 28.6%(12,300) | 67.7%(29,127) | R+39.1 | R+2.0 |
| 2012 | 30.2%(13,092) | 67.3%(29,169) | R+37.1 | R+2.4 |
| 2008 | 31.6%(13,673) | 66.3%(28,637) | R+34.6 | R+10.1 |
| 2004 | 37.3%(16,479) | 61.8%(27,303) | R+24.5 | R+4.7 |
| 2000 | 38.7%(15,555) | 58.5%(23,483) | R+19.7 | R+17.0 |
| 1996 | 43.9%(15,514) | 46.6%(16,482) | R+2.7 | R+2.1 |
| 1992 | 41.8%(16,570) | 42.4%(16,817) | R+0.6 | D+42.2 |
| 1988 | 28.1%(9,684) | 70.9%(24,426) | R+42.8 | D+8.5 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Presidential Margin Trend
Sebastian County, AR • 1892–2024
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 31.0%(9,870) | 64.6%(20,573) | R+33.6 | R+113.1 |
| 2008 | 79.5%(32,101) | 0.0%(0) | D+79.5 | D+90.7 |
| 2002 | 44.4%(14,976) | 55.6%(18,731) | R+11.1 | D+25.6 |
| 1996 | 31.6%(8,017) | 68.4%(17,332) | R+36.7 | R+136.7 |
| 1990 | 100.0%(21,833) | 0.0%(0) | D+100.0 | D+109.8 |
| 1984 | 45.1%(15,976) | 54.9%(19,434) | R+9.8 | R+54.5 |
| 1978 | 68.0%(13,105) | 23.3%(4,488) | D+44.7 | D+32.0 |
| 1972 | 56.4%(17,771) | 43.6%(13,748) | D+12.8 | R+87.2 |
| 1954 | 100.0%(14,224) | 0.0%(0) | D+100.0 | D+9.7 |
| 1948 | 90.3%(8,887) | 0.0%(0) | D+90.3 | R+9.7 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 31.2%(10,734) | 66.7%(22,939) | R+35.5 | D+11.1 |
| 2018 | 25.1%(8,316) | 71.7%(23,785) | R+46.6 | R+12.4 |
| 2014 | 31.3%(9,971) | 65.5%(20,875) | R+34.2 | R+56.9 |
| 2010 | 60.4%(18,531) | 37.7%(11,563) | D+22.7 | D+26.4 |
| 2006 | 47.1%(14,971) | 50.8%(16,142) | R+3.7 | D+17.3 |
| 2002 | 39.5%(13,238) | 60.5%(20,264) | R+21.0 | D+20.2 |
| 1998 | 28.8%(8,618) | 70.0%(20,940) | R+41.2 | R+50.0 |
| 1994 | 54.4%(15,777) | 45.6%(13,228) | D+8.8 | D+1.9 |
| 1990 | 53.4%(14,753) | 46.6%(12,862) | D+6.8 | D+8.0 |
| 1986 | 49.4%(12,629) | 50.6%(12,919) | R+1.1 | D+7.6 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab