St. Francis County, AR

AR · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+0.7
2024 Margin
R+4.4%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1988
Voting Streak
22K
Population

St. Francis County, AR (Arkansas) voted D+0.7 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 2,953 votes (49.39%) to 2,909 (48.65%) for Trump.

This represents a R+4.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. St. Francis County is classified as a competitive Democratic county. St. Francis County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The county has a population of approximately 22,400.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+0.7
2020→2024 SwingR+4.4%
Voting StreakD since 1988
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population22,400
Median Age
40.1(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
14.2%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$42,574(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
39.5%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
3.7%(US: 19.1%)
Black
54.4%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
55.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
28.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.6%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
39.6%(Major Center)
Black Protestant
12.9%(Primary Hub)
Mainline Protestant
4.2%
Catholic
0.3%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
5.8%
Irish
4.8%
American Heritage
4.8%
German
4.5%
Mexican
1.3%

Age Distribution

Median:40.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.2%
18-29
7.7%
30-44
20.9%
45-64
32.4%
65+
17.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
13.8%(1.3x US)
Manufacturing
12.6%(1.3x US)
Educational Services
7.9%
Construction
6.7%
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
4.8%(2.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.3%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202449.4%(2,953)48.6%(2,909)D+0.7R+4.4
202050.7%(3,604)45.6%(3,242)D+5.1R+6.4
201655.3%(4,031)43.8%(3,195)D+11.5R+7.0
201258.7%(4,910)40.3%(3,368)D+18.4D+1.9
200857.7%(5,486)41.2%(3,917)D+16.5R+3.0
200459.3%(5,684)39.8%(3,815)D+19.5D+1.0
200058.7%(4,986)40.2%(3,414)D+18.5R+16.7
199664.3%(5,562)29.2%(2,523)D+35.2D+4.5
199261.6%(6,548)30.9%(3,289)D+30.6D+26.7
198851.9%(4,656)47.9%(4,298)D+4.0D+8.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

St. Francis County, AR18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201462.0%(3,752)36.3%(2,198)D+25.7R+62.3
200888.0%(7,958)0.0%(0)D+88.0D+54.5
200266.7%(5,065)33.3%(2,525)D+33.5D+10.4
199661.5%(5,355)38.5%(3,348)D+23.1R+76.9
1990100.0%(5,432)0.0%(0)D+100.0D+61.4
198469.3%(7,029)30.7%(3,118)D+38.5R+36.0
197885.4%(5,466)10.8%(693)D+74.5D+25.5
197274.5%(5,921)25.5%(2,025)D+49.0R+51.0
1954100.0%(3,354)0.0%(0)D+100.0D+1.2
194898.8%(2,008)0.0%(0)D+98.8R+1.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202249.7%(2,527)48.7%(2,477)D+1.0R+5.2
201852.0%(3,019)45.8%(2,660)D+6.2R+19.3
201461.7%(3,681)36.2%(2,161)D+25.5R+30.7
201077.4%(5,361)21.2%(1,469)D+56.2D+10.3
200671.5%(4,939)25.6%(1,769)D+45.9D+23.3
200261.3%(4,646)38.7%(2,934)D+22.6D+15.2
199853.3%(4,099)45.9%(3,529)D+7.4R+15.9
199461.7%(4,805)38.3%(2,986)D+23.3R+1.2
199062.3%(4,426)37.7%(2,683)D+24.5R+10.1
198667.3%(5,409)32.7%(2,624)D+34.7R+10.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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