Lincoln County, AR

AR · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+50.1
2024 Margin
R+6.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2008
Voting Streak
13K
Population

Lincoln County, AR (Arkansas) voted R+50.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 2,502 votes (74.2%) to 813 (24.11%) for Harris.

This represents a R+6.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Lincoln County is classified as a deep Republican county. Lincoln County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The county has a population of approximately 12,950.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+50.1
2020→2024 SwingR+6.3%
Voting StreakR since 2008
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population12,950
Median Age
40.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
12.0%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$51,778(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
61.9%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
28.2%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
76.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
15.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.1%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
32.4%(Above Average)
Black Protestant
4.8%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
2.7%
Catholic
0.1%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
9.8%
Irish
5.5%
Mexican
4.4%
American Heritage
3.3%
German
3.2%
Sub-Saharan African
3.1%Significant Hub(2.6x)
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:40.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
15.7%
18-29
8.4%
30-44
25.4%
45-64
35.6%
65+
14.8%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingMajor Specialization
17.9%(1.8x US)
Retail Trade
9.7%
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
8.6%(5.0x US)
Construction
6.7%
Educational Services
5.8%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.1%(0.9x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202424.1%(813)74.2%(2,502)R+50.1R+6.3
202026.6%(1,032)70.4%(2,729)R+43.8R+11.8
201633.3%(1,252)65.4%(2,455)R+32.0R+11.3
201238.2%(1,425)59.0%(2,199)R+20.8R+2.5
200838.8%(1,710)57.0%(2,513)R+18.2R+23.8
200452.3%(2,149)46.8%(1,921)D+5.5R+6.6
200055.2%(1,957)43.0%(1,526)D+12.2R+31.7
199668.6%(2,517)24.7%(907)D+43.9D+5.6
199264.5%(2,805)26.3%(1,142)D+38.3D+21.2
198858.1%(2,204)41.0%(1,557)D+17.1D+4.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Lincoln County, AR18922024

D+R++100+80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80-10018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201446.3%(1,427)50.0%(1,538)R+3.6R+90.2
200886.6%(3,638)0.0%(0)D+86.6D+54.1
200266.2%(2,263)33.8%(1,154)D+32.5D+3.6
199664.4%(2,405)35.6%(1,329)D+28.8R+71.1
199099.9%(3,347)0.0%(0)D+99.9D+42.7
198478.6%(3,383)21.4%(922)D+57.2R+26.4
197889.8%(2,491)6.3%(174)D+83.5D+48.8
197267.4%(2,312)32.6%(1,120)D+34.7R+65.3
1954100.0%(2,032)0.0%(0)D+100.0D+2.4
194897.6%(1,585)0.0%(0)D+97.6R+2.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202226.3%(730)72.6%(2,015)R+46.3D+1.6
201825.4%(771)73.3%(2,227)R+47.9R+49.7
201449.6%(1,531)47.8%(1,476)D+1.8R+40.1
201067.8%(2,072)25.9%(791)D+41.9R+1.0
200669.8%(1,960)27.0%(757)D+42.9D+39.9
200251.4%(1,746)48.4%(1,646)D+2.9D+7.3
199847.2%(1,477)51.6%(1,614)R+4.4R+42.4
199469.0%(2,254)31.0%(1,013)D+38.0D+2.5
199067.7%(2,713)32.3%(1,292)D+35.5D+0.3
198667.6%(2,369)32.4%(1,136)D+35.2R+21.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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