Independence County, AR

AR · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+59.5
2024 Margin
R+1.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
38K
Population

Independence County, AR (Arkansas) voted R+59.5 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 11,023 votes (78.67%) to 2,689 (19.19%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Independence County is classified as a deep Republican county. Independence County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The county has a population of approximately 38,175.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+59.5
2020→2024 SwingR+1.3%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population38,175
Median Age
38.7(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
18.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$56,609(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
82.9%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
8.9%(US: 19.1%)
Black
2.2%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
69.2%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
20.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.2%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
60.1%(Unique Concentration)
Mainline Protestant
7.0%
Catholic
2.0%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.4%
LDS/Mormon
1.3%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
18.3%Above Average(2.1x)
German
11.4%
Irish
10.1%
American Heritage
8.5%(1.6x)
Mexican
4.0%
French
1.4%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:38.7 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.3%
18-29
9.6%
30-44
18.6%
45-64
30.0%
65+
17.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
17.5%(1.8x US)
Retail Trade
11.4%
Construction
8.2%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
7.5%(0.9x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.8%(1.3x US)
Professional & Technical
4.2%(0.4x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202419.2%(2,689)78.7%(11,023)R+59.5R+1.3
202019.3%(2,806)77.5%(11,250)R+58.2R+4.6
201621.9%(2,881)75.5%(9,936)R+53.6R+9.6
201226.5%(3,281)70.4%(8,728)R+43.9R+6.8
200830.0%(3,688)67.1%(8,255)R+37.1R+21.9
200441.8%(5,443)57.1%(7,430)R+15.3R+6.7
200044.4%(5,146)53.0%(6,145)R+8.6R+27.7
199653.7%(6,240)34.6%(4,021)D+19.1R+3.1
199255.2%(7,083)33.0%(4,232)D+22.2D+41.1
198840.4%(4,523)59.2%(6,637)R+18.9D+6.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Independence County, AR18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201432.1%(3,407)62.3%(6,615)R+30.2R+113.5
200883.2%(9,609)0.0%(0)D+83.2D+70.6
200256.3%(5,832)43.7%(4,526)D+12.6D+17.6
199647.5%(5,543)52.5%(6,122)R+5.0R+105.0
1990100.0%(8,624)0.0%(0)D+100.0D+80.1
198459.9%(7,383)40.1%(4,933)D+19.9R+46.4
197878.9%(5,845)12.6%(932)D+66.3D+54.6
197255.9%(4,377)44.1%(3,455)D+11.8R+88.2
1954100.0%(3,730)0.0%(0)D+100.0D+16.2
194883.8%(2,893)0.0%(0)D+83.8R+16.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202221.9%(2,316)76.3%(8,077)R+54.4D+2.8
201819.0%(1,928)76.2%(7,733)R+57.2R+28.9
201434.0%(3,623)62.3%(6,634)R+28.3R+61.0
201065.5%(6,056)32.8%(3,033)D+32.7D+15.9
200656.1%(5,608)39.3%(3,934)D+16.7D+30.0
200243.4%(4,472)56.6%(5,836)R+13.2R+7.6
199846.6%(4,341)52.2%(4,867)R+5.6R+31.0
199462.7%(6,424)37.3%(3,828)D+25.3D+11.7
199056.8%(5,732)43.2%(4,356)D+13.6R+8.8
198661.2%(5,960)38.8%(3,772)D+22.5D+4.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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