Hot Spring County, AR

AR · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+52.2
2024 Margin
R+3.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2004
Voting Streak
33K
Population

Hot Spring County, AR (Arkansas) voted R+52.2 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 9,226 votes (75.11%) to 2,818 (22.94%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Hot Spring County is classified as a deep Republican county. Hot Spring County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2004. The county has a population of approximately 33,180.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+52.2
2020→2024 SwingR+3.4%
Voting StreakR since 2004
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population33,180
Median Age
43.1(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
17.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$55,405(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
81.1%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
4.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
10.5%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
76.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
15.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.4%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
34.2%(Major Center)
Black Protestant
11.2%(Primary Hub)
Mainline Protestant
4.3%
Catholic
0.4%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
11.8%(1.3x)
American Heritage
9.3%Above Average(1.7x)
German
7.4%
Irish
6.2%
Mexican
3.4%
French
1.2%

Age Distribution

Median:43.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.7%
18-29
7.8%
30-44
18.9%
45-64
33.5%
65+
20.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail TradeRegional Strength
15.3%(1.4x US)
Manufacturing
11.5%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
8.8%
Professional & Technical
7.3%(0.6x US)
Construction
7.1%
Healthcare & Social Services
5.7%(1.2x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202422.9%(2,818)75.1%(9,226)R+52.2R+3.4
202024.5%(3,082)73.3%(9,202)R+48.7R+5.3
201627.2%(3,149)70.7%(8,172)R+43.5R+14.4
201234.0%(3,830)63.0%(7,097)R+29.0R+4.6
200835.9%(4,288)60.3%(7,209)R+24.4R+23.9
200448.9%(5,901)49.4%(5,960)R+0.5R+4.9
200050.3%(5,527)45.9%(5,042)D+4.4R+26.5
199659.1%(6,002)28.2%(2,864)D+30.9D+0.1
199259.4%(6,308)28.6%(3,036)D+30.8D+21.2
198854.1%(5,090)44.5%(4,181)D+9.7D+7.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Hot Spring County, AR18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201439.0%(3,661)56.0%(5,260)R+17.0R+99.8
200882.7%(9,560)0.0%(0)D+82.7D+56.8
200263.0%(6,056)37.0%(3,561)D+25.9D+1.7
199662.1%(4,864)37.9%(2,966)D+24.2R+75.7
1990100.0%(7,685)0.0%(0)D+100.0D+63.3
198468.3%(8,066)31.7%(3,739)D+36.7R+31.8
197881.3%(5,431)12.8%(857)D+68.5D+60.4
197254.0%(4,546)46.0%(3,868)D+8.1R+91.9
1954100.0%(4,862)0.0%(0)D+100.0D+15.1
194884.9%(2,526)0.0%(0)D+84.9R+15.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202225.4%(2,528)72.7%(7,230)R+47.3D+1.4
201824.2%(2,113)72.9%(6,368)R+48.7R+40.1
201444.0%(4,154)52.6%(4,963)R+8.6R+45.3
201066.8%(5,606)30.0%(2,520)D+36.8D+10.2
200661.4%(5,312)34.8%(3,012)D+26.6D+22.8
200251.9%(5,067)48.1%(4,701)D+3.7D+10.8
199845.7%(3,553)52.7%(4,104)R+7.1R+39.4
199466.1%(5,659)33.9%(2,897)D+32.3D+15.6
199058.4%(4,860)41.6%(3,468)D+16.7R+14.1
198665.4%(5,680)34.6%(3,007)D+30.8R+8.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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