Hot Spring County, Arkansas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 4.1% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 11.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 34.2% | 67.5% |
| Black Protestant | 11.2% | 22.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.3% | 8.4% |
| Other | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Catholic | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 49.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+52.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+48.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+43.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+29.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+24.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+0.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+4.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+30.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+30.8 |
Hot Spring, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 33,180. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+52.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.9% | 75.1% | R+52.2 | R+3.4 |
| 2020 | 24.5% | 73.3% | R+48.7 | R+5.3 |
| 2016 | 27.2% | 70.7% | R+43.5 | R+14.4 |
| 2012 | 34.0% | 63.0% | R+29.0 | R+4.6 |
| 2008 | 35.9% | 60.3% | R+24.4 | R+23.9 |
| 2004 | 48.9% | 49.4% | R+0.5 | R+4.9 |
| 2000 | 50.3% | 45.9% | D+4.4 | R+26.5 |
| 1996 | 59.1% | 28.2% | D+30.9 | D+0.1 |
| 1992 | 59.4% | 28.6% | D+30.8 | D+21.1 |
| 1988 | 54.1% | 44.5% | D+9.7 | D+7.9 |
| 1984 | 50.5% | 48.8% | D+1.8 | R+29.1 |
| 1980 | 63.8% | 32.9% | D+30.8 | R+25.4 |
| 1976 | 78.1% | 21.9% | D+56.2 | D+86.3 |
| 1972 | 34.5% | 64.5% | R+30.1 | R+34.5 |
| 1968 | 26.5% | 22.1% | D+4.4 | R+17.3 |
| 1964 | 60.4% | 38.7% | D+21.7 | R+7.7 |
| 1960 | 59.0% | 29.6% | D+29.4 | D+20.2 |
| 1956 | 54.2% | 45.0% | D+9.3 | R+21.4 |
| 1952 | 65.2% | 34.6% | D+30.6 | R+19.2 |
| 1948 | 69.9% | 20.1% | D+49.8 | — |
What defines Hot Spring?
Hot Spring has been trending Republican — 23pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 52.2% margin
- Shifted 23.2 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections