Cleveland County, Arkansas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 6.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 35 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(10) | 83.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 1.4% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 12.5% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 39.3% | 61.0% |
| Black Protestant | 18.6% | 28.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.5% | 10.1% |
| Non-religious | 35.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+67.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+61.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+53.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+45.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+43.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+16.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+8.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+24.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+22.7 |
Cleveland, Arkansas is a county that has a population of 7,453. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+67.6. Akashic Edge tracks 35 presidential elections here, dating back to 1888.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15.5% | 83.1% | R+67.6 | R+6.0 |
| 2020 | 18.1% | 79.6% | R+61.6 | R+8.0 |
| 2016 | 22.3% | 75.9% | R+53.6 | R+8.7 |
| 2012 | 25.9% | 70.8% | R+45.0 | R+1.0 |
| 2008 | 26.0% | 69.9% | R+43.9 | R+27.9 |
| 2004 | 41.5% | 57.5% | R+16.0 | R+7.7 |
| 2000 | 44.5% | 52.8% | R+8.3 | R+33.1 |
| 1996 | 57.6% | 32.7% | D+24.8 | D+2.1 |
| 1992 | 56.0% | 33.4% | D+22.7 | D+24.7 |
| 1988 | 48.7% | 50.7% | R+2.0 | D+10.5 |
| 1984 | 43.5% | 56.0% | R+12.5 | R+36.4 |
| 1980 | 60.7% | 36.8% | D+23.9 | R+32.5 |
| 1976 | 78.2% | 21.8% | D+56.4 | D+99.3 |
| 1972 | 28.5% | 71.5% | R+42.9 | R+46.8 |
| 1968 | 16.5% | 12.6% | D+3.9 | R+0.5 |
| 1964 | 51.8% | 47.4% | D+4.4 | R+49.6 |
| 1960 | 70.9% | 16.9% | D+54.0 | D+8.4 |
| 1956 | 72.2% | 26.6% | D+45.6 | D+1.0 |
| 1952 | 72.2% | 27.6% | D+44.6 | R+15.0 |
| 1948 | 67.5% | 7.9% | D+59.6 | — |
What defines Cleveland?
Cleveland has been trending Republican — 23pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 67.6% margin
- Shifted 22.6 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections