Clay County, AR

AR · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+61.6
2024 Margin
R+1.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2008
Voting Streak
14K
Population

Clay County, AR (Arkansas) voted R+61.6 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 3,968 votes (79.89%) to 907 (18.26%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Clay County is classified as a deep Republican county. Clay County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The county has a population of approximately 14,280.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+61.6
2020→2024 SwingR+1.4%
Voting StreakR since 2008
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population14,280
Median Age
42.7(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
15.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$51,481(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
93.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
1.1%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
74.7%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
17.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.6%(US: 6.2%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
43.8%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
4.7%
Catholic
1.3%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
13.9%(1.6x)
German
13.4%
American Heritage
11.5%Above Average(2.1x)
Irish
10.3%

Age Distribution

Median:42.7 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.5%
18-29
6.9%
30-44
18.8%
45-64
31.1%
65+
21.8%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
17.1%(1.7x US)
Retail Trade
10.1%
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
9.7%(5.7x US)
Construction
6.5%
Healthcare & Social Services
5.3%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
4.1%(0.3x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202418.3%(907)79.9%(3,968)R+61.6R+1.4
202018.6%(962)78.8%(4,086)R+60.3R+9.4
201623.6%(1,199)74.4%(3,781)R+50.8R+21.7
201234.0%(1,738)63.1%(3,225)R+29.1R+14.8
200840.7%(2,244)55.0%(3,032)R+14.3R+22.6
200453.5%(3,264)45.3%(2,759)D+8.3R+13.3
200059.8%(3,527)38.2%(2,254)D+21.6R+18.3
199665.6%(3,848)25.8%(1,512)D+39.8R+5.4
199268.5%(4,848)23.3%(1,647)D+45.2D+34.4
198855.2%(3,442)44.3%(2,766)D+10.8D+17.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Clay County, AR18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201439.3%(1,573)56.4%(2,253)R+17.0R+100.5
200883.5%(4,296)0.0%(0)D+83.5D+48.1
200267.7%(3,581)32.3%(1,710)D+35.4D+15.1
199660.1%(3,444)39.9%(2,283)D+20.3R+79.7
1990100.0%(2,662)0.0%(0)D+100.0D+61.6
198469.2%(5,054)30.8%(2,251)D+38.4R+21.9
197870.0%(3,780)9.7%(523)D+60.3D+30.1
197265.1%(4,170)34.9%(2,234)D+30.2R+69.8
1954100.0%(2,657)0.0%(0)D+100.0D+8.3
194891.7%(2,845)0.0%(0)D+91.7R+8.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202220.2%(798)77.6%(3,060)R+57.4D+1.6
201818.9%(782)77.9%(3,218)R+59.0R+58.2
201447.6%(1,912)48.4%(1,943)R+0.8R+49.6
201073.7%(3,055)24.8%(1,029)D+48.8D+6.1
200668.8%(3,010)26.0%(1,137)D+42.8D+31.7
200255.6%(2,943)44.4%(2,354)D+11.1D+9.3
199850.5%(2,670)48.6%(2,573)D+1.8R+32.9
199467.3%(3,599)32.7%(1,745)D+34.7D+8.6
199063.0%(3,451)37.0%(2,024)D+26.1R+9.4
198667.7%(3,725)32.3%(1,774)D+35.5D+11.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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