Carroll County, AR

AR · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+31.7
2024 Margin
R+2.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1996
Voting Streak
29K
Population

Carroll County, AR (Arkansas) voted R+31.7 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 7,470 votes (64.74%) to 3,812 (33.04%) for Harris.

This represents a R+2.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Carroll County is classified as a deep Republican county. Carroll County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The county has a population of approximately 28,626.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+31.7
2020→2024 SwingR+2.9%
Voting StreakR since 1996
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population28,626
Median Age
44.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
20.0%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$54,230(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
70.5%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
15.7%(US: 19.1%)
Asian
1.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
77.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
17.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
10.6%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
34.4%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
3.6%
Catholic
3.5%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.8%
Black Protestant
0.3%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
12.6%
Mexican
11.6%
English
11.5%(1.3x)
Irish
7.7%
American Heritage
6.3%
French
2.5%(1.3x)
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:44.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.7%
18-29
7.0%
30-44
15.6%
45-64
32.3%
65+
23.4%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingMajor Specialization
21.2%(2.2x US)
Educational Services
11.3%(1.3x US)
Construction
9.6%(1.4x US)
Retail Trade
9.6%(0.9x US)
Professional & Technical
6.9%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.4%(1.2x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202433.0%(3,812)64.7%(7,470)R+31.7R+2.9
202034.1%(4,023)62.9%(7,424)R+28.8D+4.4
201632.2%(3,342)65.5%(6,786)R+33.2R+9.4
201236.3%(3,696)60.1%(6,125)R+23.9R+5.8
200839.4%(4,172)57.5%(6,083)R+18.1D+1.2
200439.7%(4,161)59.0%(6,184)R+19.3D+1.1
200037.5%(3,595)57.9%(5,556)R+20.4R+17.4
199641.8%(3,689)44.9%(3,957)R+3.0R+5.7
199242.5%(3,769)39.9%(3,535)D+2.6D+29.1
198836.3%(2,632)62.8%(4,553)R+26.5D+11.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Carroll County, AR18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201437.0%(2,985)58.2%(4,698)R+21.2R+94.2
200873.0%(7,355)0.0%(0)D+73.0D+79.8
200246.6%(3,879)53.4%(4,447)R+6.8D+13.9
199639.6%(3,498)60.4%(5,331)R+20.8R+120.4
199099.7%(4,265)0.0%(0)D+99.7D+94.0
198452.8%(3,728)47.2%(3,330)D+5.6R+47.3
197873.1%(3,630)20.2%(1,001)D+53.0D+30.5
197261.2%(3,121)38.8%(1,977)D+22.4R+77.6
1954100.0%(2,351)0.0%(0)D+100.0D+9.1
194890.9%(2,576)0.0%(0)D+90.9R+9.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202234.9%(3,158)63.0%(5,692)R+28.0D+3.5
201833.1%(2,968)64.6%(5,796)R+31.5R+12.5
201438.3%(3,095)57.3%(4,635)R+19.0R+46.6
201062.2%(5,166)34.6%(2,876)D+27.6D+28.7
200647.1%(3,881)48.3%(3,978)R+1.2D+13.0
200242.9%(3,564)57.1%(4,737)R+14.1D+17.2
199832.9%(2,462)64.2%(4,806)R+31.3R+35.2
199451.9%(3,515)48.1%(3,253)D+3.9D+13.5
199045.2%(2,858)54.8%(3,465)R+9.6R+14.5
198652.4%(3,090)47.6%(2,803)D+4.9R+1.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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