Question 1

How did Carroll, Arkansas vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Carroll, Arkansas voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+31.7. Kamala D Harris received 3,812 votes and Donald Trump received 7,470 out of 11,538 total votes cast, a 2.9-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Carroll, Arkansas's political history?

Accepted Answer

Carroll, Arkansas has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The largest single-election swing was 57.4 points in 1976.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Carroll, Arkansas?

Accepted Answer

Carroll, Arkansas has a population of 28,626 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 70.3% non-Hispanic white, 15.7% Hispanic. About 20% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $54,230.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Carroll, Arkansas?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar countys to Carroll, Arkansas are Josephine, Fremont, Cattaraugus. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	70.3%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	15.7%
▶Black / African American(2)	0.3%
▶Asian(3)	1.3%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2)	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	1.2%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2)	1.4%
Multiracial / Other	9.8%

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	34.4%	78.6%
Mainline Protestant	3.6%	8.1%
Catholic	3.5%	8.1%
Other	2.0%	4.6%
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.8%
Black Protestant	0.3%	0.6%
Non-religious	56.2%	—

Year	Result
2024	Trump+31.7
2020	Trump+28.8
2016	Trump+33.2
2012	Romney+23.9
2008	McCain+18.1
2004	Bush+19.3
2000	Bush+20.4
1996	Dole+3.0
1992	Clinton+2.6

Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	33.0%	64.7%	R+31.7	R+2.9
2020	34.1%	62.9%	R+28.8	D+4.4
2016	32.2%	65.5%	R+33.2	R+9.4
2012	36.3%	60.1%	R+23.9	R+5.8
2008	39.4%	57.5%	R+18.1	D+1.2
2004	39.7%	59.0%	R+19.3	D+1.1
2000	37.5%	57.9%	R+20.4	R+17.4
1996	41.8%	44.8%	R+3.0	R+5.7
1992	42.6%	39.9%	D+2.6	D+29.1
1988	36.3%	62.8%	R+26.5	D+11.1
1984	30.6%	68.2%	R+37.6	R+20.8
1980	38.5%	55.3%	R+16.8	R+31.6
1976	57.0%	42.2%	D+14.8	D+57.4
1972	27.5%	70.1%	R+42.5	R+16.9
1968	25.6%	51.2%	R+25.6	R+23.2
1964	48.8%	51.2%	R+2.4	D+30.7
1960	32.8%	66.0%	R+33.1	R+16.6
1956	41.5%	58.0%	R+16.6	D+13.0
1952	35.1%	64.6%	R+29.6	R+43.3
1948	55.1%	41.4%	D+13.8	—

Carroll County, Arkansas

County in State Context

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