Baxter County, AR

AR · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+56.8
2024 Margin
R+3.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1996
Voting Streak
42K
Population

Baxter County, AR (Arkansas) voted R+56.8 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 16,253 votes (77.57%) to 4,341 (20.72%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Baxter County is classified as a deep Republican county. Baxter County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The county has a population of approximately 42,407.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+56.8
2020→2024 SwingR+3.5%
Voting StreakR since 1996
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population42,407
Median Age
51.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
19.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$48,452(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
91.6%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.9%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
75.2%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
15.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
11.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.9%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
38.5%(Major Center)
Catholic
4.5%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
3.6%
LDS/Mormon
0.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
17.7%Above Average(2.0x)
German
17.4%(1.4x)
Irish
13.9%(1.5x)
American Heritage
7.7%(1.4x)
Italian
2.8%
French
2.5%(1.3x)
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:51.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
17.7%
18-29
6.0%
30-44
14.5%
45-64
30.8%
65+
31.0%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
16.9%(1.6x US)
ManufacturingRegional Strength
16.7%(1.7x US)
Construction
8.6%(1.3x US)
Educational Services
6.5%(0.8x US)
Professional & Technical
5.8%(0.5x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
2.9%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202420.7%(4,341)77.6%(16,253)R+56.8R+3.5
202022.1%(4,635)75.4%(15,836)R+53.3D+1.1
201621.6%(4,169)76.1%(14,682)R+54.5R+10.4
201226.7%(5,172)70.8%(13,688)R+44.0R+12.4
200832.7%(6,539)64.3%(12,852)R+31.6R+10.0
200438.5%(7,129)60.0%(11,128)R+21.6R+3.5
200039.0%(6,516)57.1%(9,538)R+18.1R+17.0
199643.2%(6,703)44.4%(6,877)R+1.1R+9.7
199244.4%(6,991)35.9%(5,640)D+8.6D+36.6
198835.4%(4,808)63.4%(8,614)R+28.0D+12.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Baxter County, AR18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201429.2%(4,364)66.5%(9,950)R+37.3R+104.9
200867.6%(12,288)0.0%(0)D+67.6D+77.2
200245.2%(6,545)54.8%(7,941)R+9.6D+9.0
199640.7%(6,323)59.3%(9,215)R+18.6R+118.4
199099.8%(8,128)0.0%(0)D+99.8D+117.6
198441.1%(6,042)58.9%(8,660)R+17.8R+49.7
197863.2%(7,735)31.3%(3,830)D+31.9D+26.3
197252.8%(5,052)47.2%(4,513)D+5.6R+94.4
1954100.0%(2,107)0.0%(0)D+100.0D+10.8
194889.2%(1,450)0.0%(0)D+89.2R+10.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202221.0%(3,293)77.2%(12,098)R+56.2R+2.4
201820.8%(2,978)74.5%(10,694)R+53.8R+20.2
201431.3%(4,681)64.8%(9,693)R+33.5R+44.7
201054.5%(8,128)43.4%(6,468)D+11.1D+12.6
200646.7%(6,248)48.2%(6,440)R+1.4D+14.3
200242.1%(6,105)57.9%(8,383)R+15.7D+17.9
199832.2%(4,060)65.8%(8,306)R+33.7R+39.6
199453.0%(7,121)47.0%(6,317)D+6.0D+17.4
199044.3%(5,125)55.7%(6,442)R+11.4R+26.3
198657.5%(6,609)42.5%(4,892)D+14.9D+13.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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