Safe Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 29 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 18.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.5% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 9.8% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 9.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.6% | 38.0% |
| Other | 9.9% | 29.9% |
| Catholic | 9.1% | 27.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 8.5% | 25.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.6% | 4.8% |
| Non-religious | 66.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+37.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+34.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+31.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+26.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+27.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+19.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+8.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+9.7 |
Gila, Arizona is a county that has a population of 53,795. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+37.5. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.7% | 68.2% | R+37.5 | R+3.5 |
| 2020 | 32.3% | 66.4% | R+34.1 | R+2.2 |
| 2016 | 31.1% | 63.0% | R+31.9 | R+5.2 |
| 2012 | 35.6% | 62.3% | R+26.7 | D+1.1 |
| 2008 | 35.2% | 62.9% | R+27.7 | R+8.4 |
| 2004 | 39.8% | 59.1% | R+19.3 | R+11.1 |
| 2000 | 43.4% | 51.6% | R+8.2 | R+20.7 |
| 1996 | 49.3% | 36.8% | D+12.5 | D+2.8 |
| 1992 | 41.0% | 31.3% | D+9.7 | D+14.4 |
| 1988 | 46.7% | 51.4% | R+4.7 | D+8.7 |
| 1984 | 42.7% | 56.0% | R+13.3 | D+4.1 |
| 1980 | 37.8% | 55.3% | R+17.4 | R+28.3 |
| 1976 | 53.8% | 42.9% | D+10.9 | D+24.2 |
| 1972 | 41.4% | 54.7% | R+13.3 | R+25.9 |
| 1968 | 49.8% | 37.2% | D+12.6 | R+16.9 |
| 1964 | 64.7% | 35.2% | D+29.5 | D+13.6 |
| 1960 | 57.9% | 42.0% | D+15.9 | D+18.5 |
| 1956 | 48.7% | 51.3% | R+2.5 | R+15.8 |
| 1952 | 56.7% | 43.3% | D+13.3 | R+20.4 |
| 1948 | 65.8% | 32.1% | D+33.7 | — |
Gila has been trending Republican — 11pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (19% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.