Shelby County, Alabama
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 73.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 7.6% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 13.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 30.2% | 68.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.5% | 14.7% |
| Catholic | 3.5% | 7.9% |
| Other | 2.0% | 4.6% |
| Black Protestant | 1.9% | 4.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.7% |
| Non-religious | 55.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+40.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+40.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+50.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+55.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+53.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+61.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+55.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+50.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+46.5 |
Shelby, Alabama is a county that has a population of 230,211. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+40.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.8% | 69.5% | R+40.6 | R+0.2 |
| 2020 | 28.9% | 69.3% | R+40.4 | D+10.2 |
| 2016 | 23.2% | 73.8% | R+50.6 | D+4.8 |
| 2012 | 21.6% | 77.0% | R+55.4 | R+2.0 |
| 2008 | 22.8% | 76.2% | R+53.4 | D+8.1 |
| 2004 | 18.8% | 80.4% | R+61.6 | R+6.1 |
| 2000 | 21.2% | 76.7% | R+55.5 | R+4.6 |
| 1996 | 22.2% | 73.1% | R+50.8 | R+4.3 |
| 1992 | 21.4% | 68.0% | R+46.5 | D+11.5 |
| 1988 | 20.8% | 78.8% | R+58.0 | R+1.1 |
| 1984 | 21.0% | 77.9% | R+56.9 | R+24.4 |
| 1980 | 31.8% | 64.3% | R+32.5 | R+21.4 |
| 1976 | 43.3% | 54.3% | R+11.1 | D+54.1 |
| 1972 | 16.1% | 81.2% | R+65.2 | R+121.0 |
| 1968 | 71.7% | 15.9% | D+55.9 | D+107.2 |
| 1964 | 24.3% | 75.7% | R+51.3 | R+62.0 |
| 1960 | 55.0% | 44.3% | D+10.7 | D+17.9 |
| 1956 | 44.8% | 52.0% | R+7.2 | R+14.0 |
| 1952 | 53.3% | 46.5% | D+6.8 | R+13.5 |
| 1948 | 40.0% | 19.6% | D+20.4 | — |
What defines Shelby?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 40.6% margin
- College attainment is 47% — 14pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally