
Safe Republican — shifted 7.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 75.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 3.1% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 9.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 3.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 7.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 59.5% | 85.5% |
| Black Protestant | 6.9% | 9.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.6% | 3.8% |
| Catholic | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 30.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+62.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+54.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+49.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+26.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+28.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+11.3 |
| 2000 | Gore+5.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+13.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+24.1 |
Lawrence, Alabama is a county that has a population of 33,276. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+62.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.5% | 80.8% | R+62.3 | R+7.6 |
| 2020 | 22.2% | 76.9% | R+54.6 | R+5.6 |
| 2016 | 24.7% | 73.6% | R+49.0 | R+22.1 |
| 2012 | 35.8% | 62.7% | R+26.9 | D+1.1 |
| 2008 | 35.2% | 63.2% | R+28.0 | R+16.8 |
| 2004 | 44.0% | 55.2% | R+11.3 | R+16.4 |
| 2000 | 51.7% | 46.5% | D+5.1 | R+8.3 |
| 1996 | 51.8% | 38.4% | D+13.4 | R+10.6 |
| 1992 | 54.9% | 30.9% | D+24.1 | D+11.8 |
| 1988 | 55.2% | 43.0% | D+12.2 | D+8.0 |
| 1984 | 51.3% | 47.0% | D+4.2 | R+37.6 |
| 1980 | 69.9% | 28.1% | D+41.8 | R+23.3 |
| 1976 | 82.2% | 17.1% | D+65.1 | D+116.6 |
| 1972 | 24.2% | 75.6% | R+51.5 | R+123.9 |
| 1968 | 81.7% | 9.3% | D+72.4 | D+72.5 |
| 1964 | 50.0% | 50.0% | Even | R+36.5 |
| 1960 | 68.1% | 31.7% | D+36.4 | R+5.7 |
| 1956 | 70.8% | 28.6% | D+42.1 | R+11.0 |
| 1952 | 76.5% | 23.3% | D+53.1 | D+19.9 |
| 1948 | 44.3% | 11.0% | D+33.3 | — |
Lawrence has been trending Republican — 35pp redder over the last four presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory in the modern era in this exurban geography.