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Deb Lavender

State House candidate from Missouri who lost a razor-thin 1.2-point race in 2012

Democratic
State House
Electoral Grade
Requires 3+ graded races
3
Races
2-1
W-L (67%)
+4.4
Avg Margin
2012–2022
Career Span
Best: +11.4 (2016 State House)Worst: -1.2 (2012 State House)
67%
Win Rate
2
Win Streak
10 yrs
Career Span
32K
Career Votes

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology

Career Margin Trend3 races

R+10EvenD+102012: R+1.2 - Click to view2016: D+11.4 - Click to view2022: D+3.0 - Click to view201220162022

Career Timeline

8,213
Candidate Votes
51.5%
Vote %
15,946
Total Votes
+3.0%
Margin
Top opponent: Ryan HigginsREP

Geographic Performance

3 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

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County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

3 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Curious about Deb Lavender's performance?

Ask the Historian

Interactive AI-powered chat about Deb Lavender's career, opponents, and performance.

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