Democrats' best gubernatorial pickup opportunity. Bottoms dominates the D primary (Polymarket 70%) with a Medicaid expansion + free community college platform that plays well in metro Atlanta. The GOP primary has been upended by Rick Jackson, a billionaire healthcare executive pledging $50M of his own money — he leads Quantus polling at 33% to Burt Jones's 16%, despite entering in February. Jones has Trump's endorsement but remember: Trump's 2022 picks for governor, AG, and SOS all lost their primaries to Kemp's slate. Without Kemp's unique crossover appeal on the ballot, Democrats flipped two Public Service Commission seats with 63% in November 2025. Trump won Georgia by just 2 in 2024, making it one of the closest states in the country, and a bruising GOP primary between a self-funding outsider and a Trump-endorsed insider could leave the nominee damaged heading into a favorable D environment.