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Joseph M Hoeffel

11 races across Senate, House, State House in Pennsylvania, 6W-5L

Democratic
US SenateUS HouseState House
Electoral Grade
—
Requires 3+ graded races
11
Races
6-5
W-L (55%)
+1.7
Avg Margin
1974–2004
Career Span
Best: +9.9 (1982 State House)Worst: -10.6 (2004 Senate)
55%
Win Rate
-29.6
Avg Overperformance
3
Win Streak
30 yrs
Career Span
2.4M
Career Votes

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology

Career Margin Trend5 races

State House
Senate
R+10EvenD+101974: R+6.9 - Click to view1976: D+8.3 - Click to view1980: D+8.0 - Click to view1982: D+9.9 - Click to view2004: R+10.6 - Click to view19741976198019822004

Career Timeline

2004 US SenatePennsylvania
2,334,126
Candidate Votes
42.0%
Vote %
5,558,525
Total Votes
-10.6%
Margin
Electoral Performance
-26.6
Race Score
-29.6
vs. State Pres.
D+19.0
State Pres.
vs. Incumbent (+3pt adj)
Top opponent: Arlen SpecterREP

Key Insights

1 insights generated

Deterministic highlights from career record, margins, and standout performances.

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Geographic Performance

11 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

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County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

11 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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Opponents Faced10 opponents

Lawrence CoughlinREP
0-22 matchups · 1984–1986
Arlen SpecterREP
0-12004 Senate(-10.6)
John P McDermottOTH
1-02002 House
Ken CavanaughLIB
1-02000 House
Thomas Patrick BurkeLIB
1-01998 House
Bill RyanOTH
0-11996 House
Lynne P IannelliREP
1-01982 State House(+9.9)
Theodore H Swan Jr.REP
1-01980 State House(+8.0)
Horace F Richter Jr.REP
1-01976 State House(+8.3)
Daniel E BerenREP
0-11974 State House(-6.9)

Primary History

5 primaries

Primary election results, win rates, field sizes, and vote share.

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Historian Query

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Interactive AI-powered chat about Joseph M Hoeffel's career, opponents, and performance.

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