Skip to main content

Conrad Burns

a middling senate candidate from Montana with a 3-1 career record, often underperforming expectations

Republican
US Senate
Electoral Grade
C-
-27.0 pts
avg overperformance
Better than 16% of candidates4 graded races

Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts.

4
Races
3-1
W-L (75%)
-7.7
Avg Margin
1988–2006
Career Span
Best: +0.9 (2006 Senate)Worst: -24.7 (1994 Senate)
75%
Win Rate
+2.1
Avg Overperformance
3
Win Streak
18 yrs
Career Span
812K
Career Votes
Top 84%
Percentile

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology

Career Margin Trend4 races

R+20EvenD+201988: R+3.7 - Click to view1994: R+24.7 - Click to view2000: R+3.3 - Click to view2006: D+0.9 - Click to view1988199420002006

Career Timeline

196,283
Candidate Votes
48.3%
Vote %
406,505
Total Votes
+0.9%
Margin
Electoral Performance
-1.7
Race Score
+1.3
vs. State Pres.
D+2.1
State Pres.
Incumbent (−3pt bar)
Top opponent: Jon TesterDEM

Key Insights

1 insights generated

Deterministic highlights from career record, margins, and standout performances.

Unlock with Pro$33/mo

Geographic Performance

4 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

Unlock with Pro$33/mo

County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

Unlock with Pro$33/mo

Demographic Coalition Analysis

4 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

Unlock with Insider$99/mo

Similar Candidates

8 matches found

Candidates with the closest career profiles — same era, similar performance.

Unlock with Pro$33/mo
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Curious about Conrad Burns's performance?

Ask the Historian

Interactive AI-powered chat about Conrad Burns's career, opponents, and performance.

Unlock with Insider$99/mo
Export & ShareCSV (Insider)JSON (Insider)
Share