Tonka Bay, MN
| Election | Margin |
|---|---|
| 2008 | R+9.2 |
| 2012 | R+17.2 |
| 2016 | even |
| 2020 | D+5.1 |
| 2024 | D+5.1 |
Turnout is unavailable because a compatible reported ballots-cast numerator and denominator are not both present.
| Population | 1,270 |
|---|---|
| Latest presidential result | D+5.1 (2024) |
| Results on record | 2004–2024 presidential |
| Median household income | $156,458 |
| County | Hennepin County |
| State | MN |
Place narrative
Tonka Bay is one of the smallest incorporated cities on Lake Minnetonka, with a tight residential base that produces high per-capita voter participation typical of affluent, owner-occupied lake communities in the Twin Cities exurban ring.
Presidential history
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Other | Candidate total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | +5.1% | 583 | 525 | 38 | 1,146 |
| 2020 | D | +5.1% | 588 | 530 | 22 | 1,140 |
| 2016 | R | Tied | 509 | 514 | 101 | 1,124 |
| 2012 | R | −17.2% | 419 | 598 | 25 | 1,042 |
| 2008 | R | −9.2% | 458 | 552 | 14 | 1,024 |
| 2004† | R | −18.6% | 419 | 611 | 3 | 1,033 |
Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits.
These Census-place returns are modeled candidate-vote estimates on Census boundaries unless a row explicitly says certified. They are not automatically the official city or town return.
† 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source reported that cycle at county or municipality level (COVID-era consolidated reporting), so block-level detail is interpolated from adjacent cycles and scaled to certified totals.
Demographics
| Race & Ethnicity | |
|---|---|
| White | 93.0% |
| Black | 0.4% |
| Asian | 0.5% |
| Hispanic or Latino | 2.5% |
| Income & Age | |
| Median household income | $156,458 |
| Poverty rate | 3.5% |
| Median age | 59.8 |
| Age 18–29 | 4.5% |
| Age 65 and older | 33.3% |
| Education & Language | |
| Bachelor’s degree or higher (25+) | 63.3% |
| Speaks a non-English language at home | 5.8% |
ACS 5-year survey estimates, subject to a margin of error. Race shares are single-race; Hispanic or Latino is a separate, overlapping ethnicity.
Ancestry, religious adherence, and side-by-side parent comparisons appear on the Hennepin County county page and the MN state page.