{"success":true,"contractVersion":"v1","docs":"https://www.akashicedge.com/ancestry/api","dossier":{"entity":{"domain":"ancestry","kind":"fine_ancestry","slug":"kenyan","name":"Kenyan","familyOrTradition":"African/Caribbean","parentSlug":"family_african_caribbean","route":"/ancestry/kenyan","primaryMeasure":"share_of_population","secondaryMeasure":null,"releaseLabel":"EXPERIMENTAL","badges":["African/Caribbean","african caribbean"],"availability":{"availableGeoKinds":["nation","state","county","district","sld","cbsa","dma","place"],"hasPoliticsModule":true,"hasSecondaryMeasure":false,"launchStatus":"experimental","indexStatus":"noindex"}},"nationalFootprint":{"geoKind":"nation","geoId":"nation:2020:00","name":"United States","href":null,"stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.04,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.04,"overIndexVsUs":1,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":1,"rankWithinParent":null},"strongestState":{"geoKind":"state","geoId":"state:2020:27","name":"Minnesota","href":"/states/mn","stateCode":"MN","shareOfPopulationPct":0.16,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.16,"overIndexVsUs":4,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":1,"rankWithinParent":null},"strongestCounty":{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:31105","name":"Kimball, NE","href":"/counties/31105","stateCode":"NE","shareOfPopulationPct":1.29,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":1.29,"overIndexVsUs":32.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":1,"rankWithinParent":1},"strongestDma":{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:613","name":"Minneapolis-St. Paul","href":"/media-markets/613","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.18,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.18,"overIndexVsUs":4.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":1,"rankWithinParent":null},"topStates":[{"geoKind":"state","geoId":"state:2020:27","name":"Minnesota","href":"/states/mn","stateCode":"MN","shareOfPopulationPct":0.16,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.16,"overIndexVsUs":4,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":1,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"state","geoId":"state:2020:53","name":"Washington","href":"/states/wa","stateCode":"WA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.13,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.13,"overIndexVsUs":3.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":2,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"state","geoId":"state:2020:25","name":"Massachusetts","href":"/states/ma","stateCode":"MA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.11,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.11,"overIndexVsUs":2.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":3,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"state","geoId":"state:2020:10","name":"Delaware","href":"/states/de","stateCode":"DE","shareOfPopulationPct":0.1,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.1,"overIndexVsUs":2.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":4,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"state","geoId":"state:2020:24","name":"Maryland","href":"/states/md","stateCode":"MD","shareOfPopulationPct":0.1,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.1,"overIndexVsUs":2.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":5,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"state","geoId":"state:2020:20","name":"Kansas","href":"/states/ks","stateCode":"KS","shareOfPopulationPct":0.09,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.09,"overIndexVsUs":2.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":6,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"state","geoId":"state:2020:11","name":"District of Columbia","href":"/states/dc","stateCode":"DC","shareOfPopulationPct":0.07,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.07,"overIndexVsUs":1.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":7,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"state","geoId":"state:2020:13","name":"Georgia","href":"/states/ga","stateCode":"GA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.06,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.06,"overIndexVsUs":1.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":8,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"state","geoId":"state:2020:48","name":"Texas","href":"/states/tx","stateCode":"TX","shareOfPopulationPct":0.06,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.06,"overIndexVsUs":1.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":9,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"state","geoId":"state:2020:29","name":"Missouri","href":"/states/mo","stateCode":"MO","shareOfPopulationPct":0.05,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.05,"overIndexVsUs":1.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":10,"rankWithinParent":null}],"topCounties":[{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:31105","name":"Kimball, NE","href":"/counties/31105","stateCode":"NE","shareOfPopulationPct":1.29,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":1.29,"overIndexVsUs":32.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":1,"rankWithinParent":1},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:13237","name":"Putnam, GA","href":"/counties/13237","stateCode":"GA","shareOfPopulationPct":1.23,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":1.23,"overIndexVsUs":30.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":2,"rankWithinParent":1},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:51125","name":"Nelson, VA","href":"/counties/51125","stateCode":"VA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.98,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.98,"overIndexVsUs":24.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":3,"rankWithinParent":1},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:19189","name":"Winnebago, IA","href":"/counties/19189","stateCode":"IA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.86,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.86,"overIndexVsUs":21.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":4,"rankWithinParent":1},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:27067","name":"Kandiyohi, MN","href":"/counties/27067","stateCode":"MN","shareOfPopulationPct":0.55,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.55,"overIndexVsUs":13.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":5,"rankWithinParent":1},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:13315","name":"Wilcox, GA","href":"/counties/13315","stateCode":"GA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.53,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.53,"overIndexVsUs":13.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":6,"rankWithinParent":2},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:51690","name":"Martinsville City, VA","href":"/counties/51690","stateCode":"VA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.5,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.5,"overIndexVsUs":12.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":7,"rankWithinParent":2},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:20169","name":"Saline, KS","href":"/counties/20169","stateCode":"KS","shareOfPopulationPct":0.47,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.47,"overIndexVsUs":11.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":8,"rankWithinParent":1},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:51137","name":"Orange, VA","href":"/counties/51137","stateCode":"VA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.43,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.43,"overIndexVsUs":10.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":9,"rankWithinParent":3},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:13179","name":"Liberty, GA","href":"/counties/13179","stateCode":"GA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.4,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.4,"overIndexVsUs":10,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":10,"rankWithinParent":3},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:29101","name":"Johnson, MO","href":"/counties/29101","stateCode":"MO","shareOfPopulationPct":0.39,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.39,"overIndexVsUs":9.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":11,"rankWithinParent":1},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:20143","name":"Ottawa, KS","href":"/counties/20143","stateCode":"KS","shareOfPopulationPct":0.34,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.34,"overIndexVsUs":8.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":12,"rankWithinParent":2},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:27037","name":"Dakota, MN","href":"/counties/27037","stateCode":"MN","shareOfPopulationPct":0.32,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.32,"overIndexVsUs":8,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":13,"rankWithinParent":2},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:45011","name":"Barnwell, SC","href":"/counties/45011","stateCode":"SC","shareOfPopulationPct":0.31,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.31,"overIndexVsUs":7.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":14,"rankWithinParent":1},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:20021","name":"Cherokee, KS","href":"/counties/20021","stateCode":"KS","shareOfPopulationPct":0.31,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.31,"overIndexVsUs":7.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":15,"rankWithinParent":3},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:13223","name":"Paulding, GA","href":"/counties/13223","stateCode":"GA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.31,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.31,"overIndexVsUs":7.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":16,"rankWithinParent":4},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:31125","name":"Nance, NE","href":"/counties/31125","stateCode":"NE","shareOfPopulationPct":0.3,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.3,"overIndexVsUs":7.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":17,"rankWithinParent":2},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:27123","name":"Ramsey, MN","href":"/counties/27123","stateCode":"MN","shareOfPopulationPct":0.3,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.3,"overIndexVsUs":7.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":18,"rankWithinParent":3},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:48473","name":"Waller, TX","href":"/counties/48473","stateCode":"TX","shareOfPopulationPct":0.3,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.3,"overIndexVsUs":7.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":19,"rankWithinParent":1},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:51029","name":"Buckingham, VA","href":"/counties/51029","stateCode":"VA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.29,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.29,"overIndexVsUs":7.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":20,"rankWithinParent":4},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:56005","name":"Campbell, WY","href":"/counties/56005","stateCode":"WY","shareOfPopulationPct":0.29,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.29,"overIndexVsUs":7.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":21,"rankWithinParent":1},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:20091","name":"Johnson, KS","href":"/counties/20091","stateCode":"KS","shareOfPopulationPct":0.29,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.29,"overIndexVsUs":7.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":22,"rankWithinParent":4},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:51061","name":"Fauquier, VA","href":"/counties/51061","stateCode":"VA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.28,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.28,"overIndexVsUs":7,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":23,"rankWithinParent":5},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:37083","name":"Halifax, NC","href":"/counties/37083","stateCode":"NC","shareOfPopulationPct":0.28,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.28,"overIndexVsUs":7,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":24,"rankWithinParent":1},{"geoKind":"county","geoId":"county:2020:18141","name":"St. Joseph, IN","href":"/counties/18141","stateCode":"IN","shareOfPopulationPct":0.28,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.28,"overIndexVsUs":7,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":25,"rankWithinParent":1}],"topDmas":[{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:613","name":"Minneapolis-St. Paul","href":"/media-markets/613","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.18,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.18,"overIndexVsUs":4.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":1,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:819","name":"Seattle-Tacoma","href":"/media-markets/819","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.17,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.17,"overIndexVsUs":4.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":2,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:512","name":"Baltimore","href":"/media-markets/512","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.11,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.11,"overIndexVsUs":2.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":3,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:506","name":"Boston (Manchester)","href":"/media-markets/506","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.11,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.11,"overIndexVsUs":2.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":4,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:616","name":"Kansas City","href":"/media-markets/616","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.11,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.11,"overIndexVsUs":2.75,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":5,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:623","name":"Dallas-Ft. Worth","href":"/media-markets/623","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.1,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.1,"overIndexVsUs":2.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":6,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:737","name":"Mankato","href":"/media-markets/737","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.1,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.1,"overIndexVsUs":2.5,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":7,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:535","name":"Columbus, OH","href":"/media-markets/535","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.09,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.09,"overIndexVsUs":2.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":8,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:633","name":"Odessa-Midland","href":"/media-markets/633","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.09,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.09,"overIndexVsUs":2.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":9,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:588","name":"South Bend-Elkhart","href":"/media-markets/588","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.09,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.09,"overIndexVsUs":2.25,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":10,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:524","name":"Atlanta","href":"/media-markets/524","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.08,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.08,"overIndexVsUs":2,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":11,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:584","name":"Charlottesville","href":"/media-markets/584","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.08,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.08,"overIndexVsUs":2,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":12,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:698","name":"Montgomery-Selma","href":"/media-markets/698","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.08,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.08,"overIndexVsUs":2,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":13,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:543","name":"Springfield-Holyoke","href":"/media-markets/543","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.08,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.08,"overIndexVsUs":2,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":14,"rankWithinParent":null},{"geoKind":"dma","geoId":"dma:2024:555","name":"Syracuse","href":"/media-markets/555","stateCode":null,"shareOfPopulationPct":0.08,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"primaryPct":0.08,"overIndexVsUs":2,"overIndexVsUsAdherents":null,"rankUs":15,"rankWithinParent":null}],"unusualCounties":[{"geoId":"county:2020:40003","name":"Alfalfa, OK","href":"/counties/40003","stateCode":"OK","shareOfPopulationPct":0.18,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"actualMarginPct":-76.62,"modeledMarginPct":13.51,"residualMarginPct":-90.13},{"geoId":"county:2020:56005","name":"Campbell, WY","href":"/counties/56005","stateCode":"WY","shareOfPopulationPct":0.29,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"actualMarginPct":-76.34,"modeledMarginPct":13.51,"residualMarginPct":-89.85},{"geoId":"county:2020:48169","name":"Garza, TX","href":"/counties/48169","stateCode":"TX","shareOfPopulationPct":0.21,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"actualMarginPct":-72.61,"modeledMarginPct":13.51,"residualMarginPct":-86.12},{"geoId":"county:2020:48369","name":"Parmer, TX","href":"/counties/48369","stateCode":"TX","shareOfPopulationPct":0.08,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"actualMarginPct":-70.09,"modeledMarginPct":13.51,"residualMarginPct":-83.6},{"geoId":"county:2020:47121","name":"Meigs, TN","href":"/counties/47121","stateCode":"TN","shareOfPopulationPct":0.21,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"actualMarginPct":-67.5,"modeledMarginPct":13.51,"residualMarginPct":-81.01},{"geoId":"county:2020:29131","name":"Miller, MO","href":"/counties/29131","stateCode":"MO","shareOfPopulationPct":0.08,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"actualMarginPct":-67.32,"modeledMarginPct":13.51,"residualMarginPct":-80.83},{"geoId":"county:2020:31105","name":"Kimball, NE","href":"/counties/31105","stateCode":"NE","shareOfPopulationPct":1.29,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"actualMarginPct":-66.98,"modeledMarginPct":13.51,"residualMarginPct":-80.49},{"geoId":"county:2020:20143","name":"Ottawa, KS","href":"/counties/20143","stateCode":"KS","shareOfPopulationPct":0.34,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"actualMarginPct":-66.57,"modeledMarginPct":13.51,"residualMarginPct":-80.08},{"geoId":"county:2020:21007","name":"Ballard, KY","href":"/counties/21007","stateCode":"KY","shareOfPopulationPct":0.04,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"actualMarginPct":-64.43,"modeledMarginPct":13.51,"residualMarginPct":-77.94},{"geoId":"county:2020:13129","name":"Gordon, GA","href":"/counties/13129","stateCode":"GA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.05,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"actualMarginPct":-63.44,"modeledMarginPct":13.51,"residualMarginPct":-76.95},{"geoId":"county:2020:47019","name":"Carter, TN","href":"/counties/47019","stateCode":"TN","shareOfPopulationPct":0.17,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"actualMarginPct":-63.23,"modeledMarginPct":13.51,"residualMarginPct":-76.74},{"geoId":"county:2020:19141","name":"O'Brien, IA","href":"/counties/19141","stateCode":"IA","shareOfPopulationPct":0.15,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null,"actualMarginPct":-60.73,"modeledMarginPct":13.51,"residualMarginPct":-74.24}],"unusualMethodology":["County candidates come from the top 250 counties ranked by footprint share inside this dossier.","Actual context is the 2024 presidential margin for each county, computed as (Dem - Rep) / total votes * 100.","Modeled baseline is the latest published ancestry-model national Democratic margin for this group.","Residual = county actual margin minus the modeled baseline; rows rank by absolute residual with footprint share as the tiebreaker.","This module describes modeled geography versus county election results, not individual behavior."],"timeline":[{"year":2024,"demVoteShare":56.8,"repVoteShare":43.2,"demMarginPct":13.51,"ciLower":7.42,"ciUpper":17.44,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"LOW","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"D+7 to D+17 (Estimated range)"},{"year":2020,"demVoteShare":59.1,"repVoteShare":40.9,"demMarginPct":18.13,"ciLower":11.51,"ciUpper":22.37,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"LOW","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"D+12 to D+22 (Estimated range)"},{"year":2016,"demVoteShare":56.9,"repVoteShare":43.1,"demMarginPct":13.75,"ciLower":6.94,"ciUpper":18.23,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"LOW","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"D+7 to D+18 (Estimated range)"},{"year":2012,"demVoteShare":56.1,"repVoteShare":43.9,"demMarginPct":12.19,"ciLower":7.25,"ciUpper":15.9,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"MEDIUM","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"D+12 (Modeled)"},{"year":2008,"demVoteShare":57.5,"repVoteShare":42.5,"demMarginPct":15.08,"ciLower":11.35,"ciUpper":18.13,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"LOW","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"D+11 to D+18 (Estimated range)"},{"year":2004,"demVoteShare":52.1,"repVoteShare":47.9,"demMarginPct":4.14,"ciLower":-0.68,"ciUpper":7.86,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"LOW","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"R+1 to D+8 (Estimated range)"},{"year":2000,"demVoteShare":52.5,"repVoteShare":47.5,"demMarginPct":4.92,"ciLower":0,"ciUpper":8.66,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"MEDIUM","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"D+5 (Modeled)"}],"politicsSummary":{"latestYear":2024,"latestMarginPct":13.51,"ciLower":7.42,"ciUpper":17.44,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"LOW","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"D+7 to D+17 (Estimated range)"},"related":[{"slug":"subsaharan_african","name":"Subsaharan African","href":"/ancestry/subsaharan_african","relationship":"Same family","releaseLabel":"ELIGIBLE","indexStatus":"index","confidenceLabel":"High confidence","shareOfPopulationPct":0.51,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null},{"slug":"jamaican","name":"Jamaican","href":"/ancestry/jamaican","relationship":"Same family","releaseLabel":"ELIGIBLE","indexStatus":"index","confidenceLabel":"Modeled","shareOfPopulationPct":0.36,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null},{"slug":"haitian","name":"Haitian","href":"/ancestry/haitian","relationship":"Same family","releaseLabel":"ELIGIBLE","indexStatus":"index","confidenceLabel":"Modeled","shareOfPopulationPct":0.33,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null},{"slug":"nigerian","name":"Nigerian","href":"/ancestry/nigerian","relationship":"Same family","releaseLabel":"EXPERIMENTAL","indexStatus":"noindex","confidenceLabel":"Modeled","shareOfPopulationPct":0.21,"shareOfAdherentsPct":null}],"provenance":["Footprint source: ACS 2024 ancestry fields from demographics_ancestry.","Politics source window: presidential model output spanning 2000 through 2024 from the latest completed ancestry_vote_estimates run.","Release policy: public-release dossiers are indexed; experimental dossiers remain labeled and excluded from search indexing.","Interpretation: modeled political geography, not observed individual vote behavior."],"methodology":["Ancestry footprint metrics use ACS 2024 source columns mapped from the canonical ancestry taxonomy.","Public geography tables rank states and counties by share of total population reporting the ancestry.","State and national ancestry shares are weighted from county populations whenever a direct aggregate row is unavailable.","Political timelines use the latest completed ancestry model run and surface model version plus confidence labels directly.","Indexed public-release dossiers remain search-visible; experimental dossiers stay public in the atlas but noindex until promoted.","These pages describe modeled voting patterns, not direct measures of individual behavior."],"correlationScatter":{"points":[{"geoId":"county:2020:13237","name":"Putnam, GA","stateCode":"GA","groupPct":1.23,"margin2024":-42.25,"population":22855,"region":"South"},{"geoId":"county:2020:31105","name":"Kimball, NE","stateCode":"NE","groupPct":1.29,"margin2024":-66.98,"population":3248,"region":"Midwest"}],"pearsonR":-1,"slope":-412.1667,"intercept":464.715,"sampleSize":2},"demographicProfile":{"metrics":[{"key":"median_household_income","label":"Median household income","unit":"$","groupValue":94627,"nationalValue":84518,"delta":10109,"direction":"higher"},{"key":"college_pct","label":"Bachelor's+ attainment","unit":"%","groupValue":42.74,"nationalValue":35.6,"delta":7.14,"direction":"higher"},{"key":"median_age","label":"Median age","unit":" yrs","groupValue":37.5,"nationalValue":39.1,"delta":-1.6,"direction":"lower"}],"topQuartileCountyCount":138},"intensityLookup":{"10003":0.17,"10005":0.01,"11001":0.07,"12001":0.08,"12009":0.01,"12011":0.01,"12031":0.03,"12033":0.02,"12035":0.03,"12057":0.03,"12073":0.01,"12086":0.01,"12091":0.01,"12095":0.02,"12097":0.02,"12099":0.01,"12101":0.01,"12105":0.01,"12115":0.01,"12117":0.08,"13009":0.03,"13015":0.1,"13017":0.04,"13051":0.08,"13057":0.06,"13059":0.04,"13063":0.02,"13067":0.19,"13073":0.08,"13077":0.01,"13089":0.13,"13097":0.27,"13103":0.03,"13121":0.07,"13129":0.05,"13135":0.05,"13151":0.08,"13153":0.04,"13179":0.4,"13217":0.07,"13219":0.24,"13223":0.31,"13237":1.23,"13245":0.02,"13297":0.03,"13315":0.53,"15003":0.03,"16013":0.07,"16019":0.01,"17019":0.04,"17031":0.01,"17043":0.01,"17063":0.01,"17083":0.02,"17097":0.02,"17111":0.01,"17113":0.02,"17117":0.04,"17119":0.01,"17143":0.03,"17161":0.03,"17163":0.02,"17167":0.01,"17197":0.02,"17201":0.01,"18003":0.09,"18017":0.01,"18035":0.01,"18057":0.02,"18059":0.08,"18063":0.02,"18089":0.01,"18097":0.12,"18105":0.08,"18141":0.28,"18163":0.02,"18177":0.01,"19033":0.02,"19045":0.01,"19049":0.09,"19053":0.12,"19087":0.03,"19103":0.23,"19111":0.11,"19113":0.09,"19127":0.13,"19141":0.15,"19153":0.05,"19157":0.06,"19163":0.11,"19187":0.09,"19189":0.86,"20021":0.31,"20037":0.02,"20053":0.24,"20057":0.09,"20059":0.1,"20091":0.29,"20103":0.05,"20133":0.01,"20139":0.04,"20143":0.34,"20159":0.07,"20161":0.06,"20169":0.47,"20173":0.07,"20209":0.05,"21007":0.04,"21015":0.12,"21019":0.01,"21037":0.03,"21047":0.11,"21067":0.05,"21073":0.04,"21111":0.04,"21117":0.01,"21145":0.11,"21151":0.04,"21173":0.06,"21185":0.01,"21227":0.02,"22015":0.08,"22017":0.03,"22033":0.01,"22039":0.03,"22055":0.02,"22071":0.04,"22103":0.01,"22109":0.18,"22115":0.02,"23001":0.09,"23003":0.06,"23029":0.06,"23031":0.04,"24001":0.01,"24005":0.27,"24011":0.18,"24013":0.05,"24015":0.05,"24017":0.02,"24021":0.06,"24025":0.09,"24027":0.1,"24031":0.15,"24033":0.11,"24037":0.02,"24043":0.01,"24047":0.01,"24510":0.04,"25005":0.05,"25009":0.16,"25013":0.11,"25015":0.05,"25017":0.14,"25021":0.05,"25023":0.05,"25025":0.1,"25027":0.22,"26009":0.02,"26019":0.05,"26021":0.01,"26025":0.13,"26045":0.01,"26061":0.16,"26065":0.04,"26077":0.12,"26081":0.04,"26085":0.2,"26091":0.01,"26093":0.04,"26099":0.01,"26139":0.01,"26145":0.02,"26155":0.16,"26161":0.03,"26163":0.01,"27003":0.26,"27005":0.07,"27007":0.01,"27013":0.15,"27017":0.06,"27019":0.06,"27021":0.01,"27025":0.01,"27027":0.27,"27035":0.04,"27037":0.32,"27053":0.27,"27057":0.03,"27059":0.15,"27067":0.55,"27083":0.1,"27085":0.02,"27103":0.16,"27107":0.02,"27109":0.04,"27123":0.3,"27131":0.05,"27137":0.1,"27139":0.16,"27141":0.01,"27143":0.01,"27145":0.08,"27147":0.03,"27163":0.05,"27171":0.19,"28049":0.05,"28071":0.09,"28089":0.01,"29019":0.08,"29037":0.03,"29047":0.01,"29071":0.01,"29077":0.02,"29095":0.08,"29097":0.02,"29099":0.03,"29101":0.39,"29131":0.08,"29165":0.03,"29183":0.01,"29189":0.19,"29510":0.01,"30013":0.03,"31053":0.09,"31055":0.02,"31105":1.29,"31125":0.3,"31153":0.05,"32003":0.02,"32031":0.02,"33005":0.04,"33009":0.01,"33011":0.12,"33015":0.01,"33017":0.09,"34001":0.03,"34003":0.03,"34005":0.1,"34007":0.01,"34013":0.06,"34017":0.18,"34019":0.01,"34021":0.05,"34023":0.03,"34027":0.01,"34035":0.02,"34037":0.03,"34039":0.05,"34041":0.09,"35001":0.01,"35025":0.02,"35041":0.2,"35049":0.01,"36001":0.03,"36005":0.01,"36007":0.03,"36019":0.01,"36027":0.04,"36029":0.02,"36035":0.03,"36045":0.02,"36047":0.02,"36055":0.01,"36059":0.01,"36061":0.03,"36067":0.13,"36069":0.01,"36071":0.02,"36077":0.01,"36081":0.01,"36087":0.02,"36091":0.01,"36109":0.09,"36111":0.01,"36119":0.04,"37001":0.07,"37021":0.03,"37037":0.04,"37049":0.05,"37051":0.02,"37063":0.06,"37069":0.13,"37071":0.04,"37081":0.03,"37083":0.28,"37085":0.08,"37089":0.03,"37091":0.01,"37097":0.01,"37101":0.04,"37119":0.05,"37123":0.24,"37133":0.04,"37135":0.07,"37137":0.04,"37145":0.05,"37183":0.13,"38015":0.09,"38017":0.06,"38035":0.13,"39017":0.02,"39023":0.01,"39035":0.02,"39041":0.02,"39043":0.03,"39045":0.05,"39049":0.16,"39057":0.02,"39061":0.05,"39063":0.03,"39085":0.04,"39093":0.01,"39095":0.02,"39099":0.02,"39113":0.02,"39147":0.07,"39153":0.02,"39159":0.25,"39169":0.04,"39173":0.01,"40003":0.18,"40027":0.05,"40031":0.01,"40109":0.06,"40143":0.04,"41003":0.03,"41005":0.03,"41017":0.01,"41039":0.01,"41051":0.03,"41067":0.06,"41071":0.09,"42003":0.03,"42005":0.07,"42011":0.01,"42015":0.07,"42017":0.01,"42025":0.01,"42027":0.01,"42029":0.03,"42041":0.02,"42043":0.06,"42045":0.03,"42049":0.04,"42059":0.01,"42063":0.02,"42069":0.02,"42071":0.08,"42077":0.06,"42079":0.01,"42081":0.01,"42089":0.01,"42091":0.02,"42095":0.01,"42101":0.07,"42103":0.04,"42117":0.01,"42133":0.03,"44007":0.02,"45003":0.14,"45011":0.31,"45015":0.01,"45019":0.06,"45035":0.14,"45041":0.03,"45045":0.01,"45057":0.01,"45063":0.05,"45091":0.04,"46011":0.01,"46103":0.02,"47001":0.01,"47019":0.17,"47037":0.07,"47065":0.04,"47093":0.06,"47113":0.02,"47121":0.21,"47125":0.02,"47149":0.03,"47157":0.04,"47187":0.02,"47189":0.05,"48027":0.06,"48029":0.07,"48039":0.07,"48041":0.02,"48085":0.1,"48099":0.07,"48113":0.11,"48121":0.12,"48135":0.1,"48139":0.04,"48157":0.24,"48169":0.21,"48183":0.05,"48187":0.02,"48201":0.05,"48203":0.01,"48215":0.01,"48219":0.03,"48245":0.01,"48251":0.09,"48257":0.15,"48303":0.03,"48325":0.03,"48329":0.14,"48339":0.06,"48347":0.13,"48355":0.01,"48369":0.08,"48373":0.04,"48397":0.02,"48423":0.05,"48439":0.13,"48441":0.16,"48451":0.03,"48453":0.04,"48471":0.1,"48473":0.3,"48485":0.01,"48491":0.04,"49035":0.03,"49049":0.01,"50001":0.03,"50005":0.07,"50007":0.03,"50015":0.06,"50017":0.04,"50019":0.01,"50027":0.12,"51003":0.04,"51013":0.06,"51019":0.04,"51025":0.06,"51029":0.29,"51041":0.03,"51059":0.07,"51061":0.28,"51065":0.03,"51069":0.02,"51075":0.03,"51087":0.1,"51095":0.02,"51107":0.05,"51125":0.98,"51137":0.43,"51149":0.05,"51153":0.05,"51161":0.04,"51179":0.07,"51510":0.01,"51550":0.08,"51600":0.08,"51610":0.14,"51660":0.12,"51680":0.05,"51683":0.02,"51690":0.5,"51710":0.03,"51730":0.04,"51740":0.02,"51770":0.01,"51810":0.02,"53003":0.21,"53005":0.01,"53009":0.04,"53011":0.04,"53015":0.01,"53025":0.02,"53029":0.08,"53033":0.25,"53035":0.01,"53037":0.01,"53041":0.01,"53049":0.05,"53053":0.26,"53055":0.02,"53057":0.02,"53061":0.12,"53063":0.03,"53065":0.02,"53067":0.03,"53071":0.01,"53075":0.04,"54061":0.07,"54089":0.12,"55013":0.06,"55015":0.13,"55023":0.02,"55025":0.05,"55035":0.06,"55055":0.14,"55065":0.01,"55079":0.02,"55107":0.04,"55137":0.02,"56005":0.29,"01097":0.01,"01089":0.05,"01117":0.07,"01073":0.11,"01101":0.22,"01107":0.01,"01125":0.06,"01115":0.03,"02013":0.03,"02020":0.01,"04001":0.04,"04013":0.03,"04021":0.03,"04019":0.03,"05007":0.01,"05143":0.07,"06043":0.2,"06037":0.02,"06019":0.01,"06013":0.05,"06049":0.01,"06065":0.03,"06095":0.12,"06103":0.02,"06075":0.05,"06001":0.03,"06081":0.02,"06111":0.01,"06061":0.01,"06087":0.01,"06097":0.06,"06099":0.01,"06109":0.09,"06071":0.01,"06067":0.04,"06073":0.03,"06059":0.02,"06077":0.03,"06085":0.03,"06069":0.01,"06113":0.01,"06029":0.01,"08069":0.02,"08005":0.05,"08031":0.01,"08035":0.01,"08013":0.01,"08123":0.01,"08041":0.09,"08101":0.05,"09009":0.02,"09003":0.03,"09013":0.03}}}