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behavior."],"timeline":[{"year":2024,"demVoteShare":41.5,"repVoteShare":58.5,"demMarginPct":-17.09,"ciLower":-21.2,"ciUpper":-11.58,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"LOW","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"R+12 to R+21 (Estimated range)"},{"year":2020,"demVoteShare":45,"repVoteShare":55,"demMarginPct":-10.08,"ciLower":-16.58,"ciUpper":-2.19,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"LOW","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"R+2 to R+17 (Estimated range)"},{"year":2016,"demVoteShare":43.7,"repVoteShare":56.3,"demMarginPct":-12.67,"ciLower":-19.03,"ciUpper":-5.21,"method":"anchored_ancestry_model","reliability":"MEDIUM","modelVersion":"v1-public-release-2000-2024","summaryLabel":"R+13 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